Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a cooling trend into early September for the Black Rock Desert, with daytime highs projected near 86–94°F during Burning Man’s opening window due to a passing cold front and moderating southwesterly flow. This short-term outlook balances against NOAA’s September 2026 climate prediction favoring above-normal temperatures across the Intermountain West, supported by strengthening El Niño conditions and long-term warming trends. Desert diurnal ranges of 25–35°F, gusty winds up to 30 mph, and low precipitation chances add variability to daily maxima, while historical late-August peaks near 95–100°F contrast with early-September norms around 80–85°F. Closely matched market odds around 40–45% across bins reflect trader assessment of model spread and the narrow window for any single daily high to resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日91〜92°F 42%
華氏86度以下 41%
87-88°F 41%
89～90°F 41%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
華氏86度以下
41%
87-88°F
41%
89～90°F
41%
91〜92°F
42%
93〜94°F
41%
95〜96°F
39%
華氏97度以上
41%
91〜92°F 42%
華氏86度以下 41%
87-88°F 41%
89～90°F 41%
新規
新規
2026/09/08
華氏86度以下
$0 Vol.
41%
87-88°F
$0 Vol.
41%
89～90°F
$0 Vol.
41%
91〜92°F
$0 Vol.
42%
93〜94°F
$0 Vol.
41%
95〜96°F
$0 Vol.
39%
華氏97度以上
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20). Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a cooling trend into early September for the Black Rock Desert, with daytime highs projected near 86–94°F during Burning Man’s opening window due to a passing cold front and moderating southwesterly flow. This short-term outlook balances against NOAA’s September 2026 climate prediction favoring above-normal temperatures across the Intermountain West, supported by strengthening El Niño conditions and long-term warming trends. Desert diurnal ranges of 25–35°F, gusty winds up to 30 mph, and low precipitation chances add variability to daily maxima, while historical late-August peaks near 95–100°F contrast with early-September norms around 80–85°F. Closely matched market odds around 40–45% across bins reflect trader assessment of model spread and the narrow window for any single daily high to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20). Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a cooling trend into early September for the Black Rock Desert, with daytime highs projected near 86–94°F during Burning Man’s opening window due to a passing cold front and moderating southwesterly flow. This short-term outlook balances against NOAA’s September 2026 climate prediction favoring above-normal temperatures across the Intermountain West, supported by strengthening El Niño conditions and long-term warming trends. Desert diurnal ranges of 25–35°F, gusty winds up to 30 mph, and low precipitation chances add variability to daily maxima, while historical late-August peaks near 95–100°F contrast with early-September norms around 80–85°F. Closely matched market odds around 40–45% across bins reflect trader assessment of model spread and the narrow window for any single daily high to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded during Burning Man 2026 at the Black Rock City Airport weather station. Temperatures are recorded in degrees Fahrenheit and will be rounded to the nearest whole degree when resolving this market, rounding up on a half (e.g., a reading of 90.5°F resolves as 91°F).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
The resolution period is the full run of Burning Man 2026: August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026. The market resolves based on the single highest temperature recorded across all of these days.
The resolution source is the "Black Rock City - Airport (88NV)" personal weather station (station ID KNVLOVEL7) on Weather Underground, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNVLOVEL7. The relevant value is the highest temperature reading shown for the resolution period. The temperature for each day can be seen at the Summary table at "Weather History for KNVLOVEL7" on the Weather Underground station page.
This market will not resolve until data for the final day of the resolution period has been published on the resolution source. If the data for the final day of the resolution period has not been posted by September 8, 2026 3:59 AM ET, this market can be extended until September 10, 2026. If the resolution source does not report temperature data by September 10, 2026 3:59 AM ET, resolution will be based on the highest Air Temperature recorded at the 88NV weather station on top of the 88NV tower from August 30, 2026 through September 7, 2026 (https://dyacon.net/station.php?pid=ed10ad82e14ab7357d3ab2eadbb30b5b#_ABSTRACT_RENDERER_ID_20).
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/08マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 6:22 PM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a cooling trend into early September for the Black Rock Desert, with daytime highs projected near 86–94°F during Burning Man’s opening window due to a passing cold front and moderating southwesterly flow. This short-term outlook balances against NOAA’s September 2026 climate prediction favoring above-normal temperatures across the Intermountain West, supported by strengthening El Niño conditions and long-term warming trends. Desert diurnal ranges of 25–35°F, gusty winds up to 30 mph, and low precipitation chances add variability to daily maxima, while historical late-August peaks near 95–100°F contrast with early-September norms around 80–85°F. Closely matched market odds around 40–45% across bins reflect trader assessment of model spread and the narrow window for any single daily high to resolve the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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