Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のアンカラの最高気温は？
8月28日のアンカラの最高気温は？
26°C 43%
25°C 23%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
23°C or below
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
23%
26°C
43%
27°C
28%
28°C
9%
29°C
7%
30°C
11%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 43%
25°C 23%
27°C 18%
30°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
8%
24°C
$0 Vol.
6%
25°C
$49 Vol.
23%
26°C
$230 Vol.
43%
27°C
$97 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$5 Vol.
11%
31°C
$5 Vol.
5%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$514終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$514終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models, including ECMWF and regional outputs, shows a cooler air mass arriving over central Turkey, positioning 26°C as the leading implied probability at 42.5% for Ankara’s August 28 high. This reflects expected daytime maxima near 26–27°C under increasing cloud cover and a 30–40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, well below late-August climatological averages of 30–31°C. Northwesterly flow and modest instability are limiting daytime heating, while overnight lows near 15°C further constrain the daily range. Updated model runs and official Turkish State Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift trader positioning ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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