**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show a post-frontal airmass arriving after Wednesday’s cold front passage, with northerly flow and mostly sunny skies limiting daytime heating on August 27.** This setup favors a daily high centered near 80°F, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probability on the 80-81°F bin. Ensemble guidance and climatological norms for late August in Chicago (average high 81°F) reinforce this range, while minor spread in model solutions—driven by exact frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing—supports the secondary probabilities on 78-79°F and 82-83°F. No heat-advection or subsidence signals appear in current runs that would push temperatures significantly higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日のシカゴの最高気温は?
80~81°F 56%
78~79°F 22%
82~83°F 19%
74〜75°F 5%
73°F以下
<1%
74〜75°F
5%
76〜77°F
5%
78~79°F
22%
80~81°F
56%
82~83°F
19%
84~85°F
5%
86~87°F
4%
88~89°F
4%
90~91°F
4%
92°F以上
<1%
80~81°F 56%
78~79°F 22%
82~83°F 19%
74〜75°F 5%
73°F以下
<1%
74〜75°F
5%
76〜77°F
5%
78~79°F
22%
80~81°F
56%
82~83°F
19%
84~85°F
5%
86~87°F
4%
88~89°F
4%
90~91°F
4%
92°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models show a post-frontal airmass arriving after Wednesday’s cold front passage, with northerly flow and mostly sunny skies limiting daytime heating on August 27.** This setup favors a daily high centered near 80°F, aligning with the market’s strongest implied probability on the 80-81°F bin. Ensemble guidance and climatological norms for late August in Chicago (average high 81°F) reinforce this range, while minor spread in model solutions—driven by exact frontal timing and boundary-layer mixing—supports the secondary probabilities on 78-79°F and 82-83°F. No heat-advection or subsidence signals appear in current runs that would push temperatures significantly higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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