Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for Houston on August 5 centers on a high near 95–97°F under a weakening upper-level ridge, with strong daytime heating offset by typical Gulf moisture and sea-breeze influences that can trigger isolated afternoon convection. This positioning explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (55%) and 94–95°F (36%), as ensembles show limited potential for readings above 98°F or below 93°F on this date. Recent model trends indicate slightly cooler guidance than the early-August peak, aligning with climatological August averages near 94°F at Houston’s airports and the narrow window before any tropical or frontal shifts. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observations and any last-minute convective development that could cap the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
96〜97°F 54%
94〜95°F 37%
98〜99°F 9%
92〜93°F 4%
$11,443 Vol.
$11,443 Vol.
87°F以下
<1%
88~89°F
<1%
90~91°F
1%
92〜93°F
4%
94〜95°F
37%
96〜97°F
54%
98〜99°F
9%
100〜101°F
1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
華氏106度以上
<1%
96〜97°F 54%
94〜95°F 37%
98〜99°F 9%
92〜93°F 4%
$11,443 Vol.
$11,443 Vol.
87°F以下
<1%
88~89°F
<1%
90~91°F
1%
92〜93°F
4%
94〜95°F
37%
96〜97°F
54%
98〜99°F
9%
100〜101°F
1%
102〜103°F
<1%
104〜105°F
<1%
華氏106度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service and NOAA guidance for Houston on August 5 centers on a high near 95–97°F under a weakening upper-level ridge, with strong daytime heating offset by typical Gulf moisture and sea-breeze influences that can trigger isolated afternoon convection. This positioning explains the market’s heavy weighting toward 96–97°F (55%) and 94–95°F (36%), as ensembles show limited potential for readings above 98°F or below 93°F on this date. Recent model trends indicate slightly cooler guidance than the early-August peak, aligning with climatological August averages near 94°F at Houston’s airports and the narrow window before any tropical or frontal shifts. Traders are monitoring the final afternoon observations and any last-minute convective development that could cap the daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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