Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate Dallas will reach a daily high near 100°F on August 5 under strong high pressure, abundant sunshine, and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture while sustaining heat. This aligns with the market-implied 62% probability on 100-101°F and 23.5% on 98-99°F, as long-range August outlooks place typical highs at 96-102°F with an average near 99°F. Recent shifts from a brief early-week cool spell back to triple-digit potential have reinforced trader consensus around these bins, with limited upside risk above 102°F given current steering patterns and no major heat dome intensification over North Texas. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine any adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月5日のダラスの最高気温は?
100-101°F 65%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 6%
104-105°F 2%
$30,143 Vol.
$30,143 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
65%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 65%
98-99°F 26%
102-103°F 6%
104-105°F 2%
$30,143 Vol.
$30,143 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
26%
100-101°F
65%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs indicate Dallas will reach a daily high near 100°F on August 5 under strong high pressure, abundant sunshine, and southerly flow that limits cloud cover and moisture while sustaining heat. This aligns with the market-implied 62% probability on 100-101°F and 23.5% on 98-99°F, as long-range August outlooks place typical highs at 96-102°F with an average near 99°F. Recent shifts from a brief early-week cool spell back to triple-digit potential have reinforced trader consensus around these bins, with limited upside risk above 102°F given current steering patterns and no major heat dome intensification over North Texas. Updated short-range guidance later today will refine any adjustments before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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