Recent model guidance for São Paulo highlights a cool, overcast pattern on August 24 driven by enhanced southeasterly flow and increased low-level moisture from the South Atlantic subtropical high, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the long-term August mean of 22–24 °C. Current ensemble forecasts cluster between 18–21 °C, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could suppress or enhance the afternoon peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and local topography add further variability to station readings used for resolution, while the dry-season baseline and absence of strong northerly advection keep probabilities for 23 °C or above low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
21°C 29%
20°C 27%
19°C 23%
22°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
23%
20°C
27%
21°C
29%
22°C
13%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 29%
20°C 27%
19°C 23%
22°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
23%
20°C
27%
21°C
29%
22°C
13%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model guidance for São Paulo highlights a cool, overcast pattern on August 24 driven by enhanced southeasterly flow and increased low-level moisture from the South Atlantic subtropical high, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near the long-term August mean of 22–24 °C. Current ensemble forecasts cluster between 18–21 °C, with the tight spread among leading market outcomes reflecting modest differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any weak frontal passage that could suppress or enhance the afternoon peak by 1–2 °C. Urban heat-island effects and local topography add further variability to station readings used for resolution, while the dry-season baseline and absence of strong northerly advection keep probabilities for 23 °C or above low.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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