Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's maximum temperature on September 10 will likely fall between 21–24°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers tied to a continental low-pressure system are suppressing daytime heating by limiting incoming solar radiation, while northerly winds advect humid air that favors convective activity over clear-sky warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, with higher probabilities for 22–23°C reflecting the balance between partial clearing and ongoing instability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月10日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
9月10日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
22℃ 26%
23°C 24%
24℃ 17%
21°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
17°C以下
1%
18°C
1%
19℃
<1%
20°C
6%
21°C
16%
22℃
26%
23°C
24%
24℃
17%
25°C
6%
26℃
2%
27℃以上
2%
22℃ 26%
23°C 24%
24℃ 17%
21°C 16%
新規
新規
2026/09/10
17°C以下
$147 Vol.
1%
18°C
$32 Vol.
1%
19℃
$283 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$694 Vol.
6%
21°C
$273 Vol.
16%
22℃
$300 Vol.
26%
23°C
$296 Vol.
24%
24℃
$375 Vol.
17%
25°C
$163 Vol.
6%
26℃
$157 Vol.
2%
27℃以上
$247 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's maximum temperature on September 10 will likely fall between 21–24°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers tied to a continental low-pressure system are suppressing daytime heating by limiting incoming solar radiation, while northerly winds advect humid air that favors convective activity over clear-sky warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, with higher probabilities for 22–23°C reflecting the balance between partial clearing and ongoing instability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$2,968終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's maximum temperature on September 10 will likely fall between 21–24°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers tied to a continental low-pressure system are suppressing daytime heating by limiting incoming solar radiation, while northerly winds advect humid air that favors convective activity over clear-sky warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, with higher probabilities for 22–23°C reflecting the balance between partial clearing and ongoing instability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,968終了日
2026/09/10マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Sao Paulo's maximum temperature on September 10 will likely fall between 21–24°C, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and widespread showers tied to a continental low-pressure system are suppressing daytime heating by limiting incoming solar radiation, while northerly winds advect humid air that favors convective activity over clear-sky warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread due to variable rainfall timing and intensity, with higher probabilities for 22–23°C reflecting the balance between partial clearing and ongoing instability. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問