**Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 4, 2026, center on daytime highs of 30–32°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (32.5%) and 33°C (51.5%).** These reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions driven by strong solar heating, high pressure, and minimal cloud cover, with coastal sea breezes providing some moderation. Current extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project highs around 31–32°C (89–90°F), consistent with historical August averages near 30–31°C but with recent days showing slightly elevated readings near 32–34°C. Model consensus favors this range, though minor variations in steering patterns or humidity could push the daily maximum to 34°C (13.5% implied). Traders appear to weight recent observational trends and near-term model runs more heavily than long-term climatology, as short-range forecasts remain the dominant input this close to the date. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service or global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月4日のテルアビブの最高気温は？
8月4日のテルアビブの最高気温は？
33°C 52%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
30°C or below
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
32%
33°C
52%
34°C
15%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 32%
34°C 15%
31°C 4%
新規
新規
2026/08/04
30°C or below
$20 Vol.
3%
31°C
$115 Vol.
4%
32°C
$396 Vol.
32%
33°C
$368 Vol.
52%
34°C
$254 Vol.
15%
35°C
$132 Vol.
3%
36°C
$103 Vol.
2%
37°C
$20 Vol.
3%
38°C
$157 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$433 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 4, 2026, center on daytime highs of 30–32°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (32.5%) and 33°C (51.5%).** These reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions driven by strong solar heating, high pressure, and minimal cloud cover, with coastal sea breezes providing some moderation.
Current extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project highs around 31–32°C (89–90°F), consistent with historical August averages near 30–31°C but with recent days showing slightly elevated readings near 32–34°C. Model consensus favors this range, though minor variations in steering patterns or humidity could push the daily maximum to 34°C (13.5% implied).
Traders appear to weight recent observational trends and near-term model runs more heavily than long-term climatology, as short-range forecasts remain the dominant input this close to the date. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service or global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
音量
$2,169終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 4, 2026, center on daytime highs of 30–32°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (32.5%) and 33°C (51.5%).** These reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions driven by strong solar heating, high pressure, and minimal cloud cover, with coastal sea breezes providing some moderation.
Current extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project highs around 31–32°C (89–90°F), consistent with historical August averages near 30–31°C but with recent days showing slightly elevated readings near 32–34°C. Model consensus favors this range, though minor variations in steering patterns or humidity could push the daily maximum to 34°C (13.5% implied).
Traders appear to weight recent observational trends and near-term model runs more heavily than long-term climatology, as short-range forecasts remain the dominant input this close to the date. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service or global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,169終了日
2026/08/04マーケット開始日
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 4, 2026, center on daytime highs of 30–32°C, aligning closely with the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (32.5%) and 33°C (51.5%).** These reflect typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions driven by strong solar heating, high pressure, and minimal cloud cover, with coastal sea breezes providing some moderation. Current extended outlooks from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather project highs around 31–32°C (89–90°F), consistent with historical August averages near 30–31°C but with recent days showing slightly elevated readings near 32–34°C. Model consensus favors this range, though minor variations in steering patterns or humidity could push the daily maximum to 34°C (13.5% implied). Traders appear to weight recent observational trends and near-term model runs more heavily than long-term climatology, as short-range forecasts remain the dominant input this close to the date. Updated runs from agencies like the Israel Meteorological Service or global ensembles over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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