Latest forecasts from GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and Polish meteorological sources indicate a mostly clear or partly cloudy day over Warsaw on September 9 under southerly flow advecting warmer air, with afternoon highs centered near 27–28 °C and only isolated late-day shower risk. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 29 °C and 30 °C because ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and the precise timing of any increase in mid-level cloud cover or wind shift can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C of daytime heating. Recent September warmth (anomaly near +3 °C through early month) and the absence of strong cold-air intrusion keep the upper tail viable, while the approaching western front introduces modest downside risk that prevents any single outcome from exceeding 40 % implied probability. New model cycles and observational updates overnight will narrow the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
9月9日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
29℃ 37%
30℃ 29%
28°C 20%
31℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
25°C以下
1%
26℃
2%
27℃
5%
28°C
20%
29℃
37%
30℃
29%
31℃
11%
32℃
1%
33℃
1%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
29℃ 37%
30℃ 29%
28°C 20%
31℃ 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
25°C以下
$243 Vol.
1%
26℃
$101 Vol.
2%
27℃
$114 Vol.
5%
28°C
$2,023 Vol.
20%
29℃
$1,378 Vol.
37%
30℃
$1,207 Vol.
29%
31℃
$611 Vol.
11%
32℃
$85 Vol.
1%
33℃
$200 Vol.
1%
34℃
$732 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$617 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and Polish meteorological sources indicate a mostly clear or partly cloudy day over Warsaw on September 9 under southerly flow advecting warmer air, with afternoon highs centered near 27–28 °C and only isolated late-day shower risk. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 29 °C and 30 °C because ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and the precise timing of any increase in mid-level cloud cover or wind shift can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C of daytime heating. Recent September warmth (anomaly near +3 °C through early month) and the absence of strong cold-air intrusion keep the upper tail viable, while the approaching western front introduces modest downside risk that prevents any single outcome from exceeding 40 % implied probability. New model cycles and observational updates overnight will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$7,310終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and Polish meteorological sources indicate a mostly clear or partly cloudy day over Warsaw on September 9 under southerly flow advecting warmer air, with afternoon highs centered near 27–28 °C and only isolated late-day shower risk. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 29 °C and 30 °C because ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and the precise timing of any increase in mid-level cloud cover or wind shift can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C of daytime heating. Recent September warmth (anomaly near +3 °C through early month) and the absence of strong cold-air intrusion keep the upper tail viable, while the approaching western front introduces modest downside risk that prevents any single outcome from exceeding 40 % implied probability. New model cycles and observational updates overnight will narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,310終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest forecasts from GFS, ECMWF-influenced runs, and Polish meteorological sources indicate a mostly clear or partly cloudy day over Warsaw on September 9 under southerly flow advecting warmer air, with afternoon highs centered near 27–28 °C and only isolated late-day shower risk. Trader positioning clusters tightly around 29 °C and 30 °C because ensemble spreads in boundary-layer temperature and the precise timing of any increase in mid-level cloud cover or wind shift can easily add or subtract 1–2 °C of daytime heating. Recent September warmth (anomaly near +3 °C through early month) and the absence of strong cold-air intrusion keep the upper tail viable, while the approaching western front introduces modest downside risk that prevents any single outcome from exceeding 40 % implied probability. New model cycles and observational updates overnight will narrow the range before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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