Traders assign overwhelming probability to a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because multiple forecast models, including those from regional meteorological services, project afternoon peaks of 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds. Current observations show temperatures already climbing through the low 30s Celsius by late morning, consistent with late-summer climatology for the North China Plain where solar heating and modest humidity support strong diurnal rises. Official guidance indicates only scattered light rain chances that are unlikely to suppress the maximum. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of widespread cloud cover or heavier precipitation not currently indicated in updated model runs, which could cap readings below the 32°C threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日の鄭州の最高気温は？
8月26日の鄭州の最高気温は？
32°C or higher 99.4%
31°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
99%
32°C or higher 99.4%
31°C 1.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
22°C or below
$185 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,009 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$812 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$657 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$200 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$362 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability to a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because multiple forecast models, including those from regional meteorological services, project afternoon peaks of 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds. Current observations show temperatures already climbing through the low 30s Celsius by late morning, consistent with late-summer climatology for the North China Plain where solar heating and modest humidity support strong diurnal rises. Official guidance indicates only scattered light rain chances that are unlikely to suppress the maximum. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of widespread cloud cover or heavier precipitation not currently indicated in updated model runs, which could cap readings below the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$6,060終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming probability to a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because multiple forecast models, including those from regional meteorological services, project afternoon peaks of 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds. Current observations show temperatures already climbing through the low 30s Celsius by late morning, consistent with late-summer climatology for the North China Plain where solar heating and modest humidity support strong diurnal rises. Official guidance indicates only scattered light rain chances that are unlikely to suppress the maximum. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of widespread cloud cover or heavier precipitation not currently indicated in updated model runs, which could cap readings below the 32°C threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,060終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:55 AM ETTraders assign overwhelming probability to a daily high of 32°C or higher in Zhengzhou on August 26 because multiple forecast models, including those from regional meteorological services, project afternoon peaks of 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds. Current observations show temperatures already climbing through the low 30s Celsius by late morning, consistent with late-summer climatology for the North China Plain where solar heating and modest humidity support strong diurnal rises. Official guidance indicates only scattered light rain chances that are unlikely to suppress the maximum. A realistic challenge would require rapid development of widespread cloud cover or heavier precipitation not currently indicated in updated model runs, which could cap readings below the 32°C threshold.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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