**Forecast consensus points to a high near 29–31°C in Zhengzhou on August 27, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler, more humid air and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, show highs of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly flow at 8–13 km/h and minimal precipitation (under 1 mm). This represents a notable drop from the prior day’s 33–34°C peak under clearer conditions. The near-even split between 31°C and 32°C+ market odds reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any brief clearing that could allow an extra degree of warming, while official thresholds for daily maximum temperature hinge on the warmest hourly observation. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 12–18 hours will clarify whether the ceiling reaches 32°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日の鄭州の最高気温は?
31°C 47%
32°C or higher 47%
30°C 27%
28°C 11%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
10%
30°C
27%
31°C
47%
32°C or higher
47%
31°C 47%
32°C or higher 47%
30°C 27%
28°C 11%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
11%
29°C
10%
30°C
27%
31°C
47%
32°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus points to a high near 29–31°C in Zhengzhou on August 27, driven by northeasterly winds advecting cooler, more humid air and extensive cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating.** Multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, show highs of 28–30°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly flow at 8–13 km/h and minimal precipitation (under 1 mm). This represents a notable drop from the prior day’s 33–34°C peak under clearer conditions. The near-even split between 31°C and 32°C+ market odds reflects uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and any brief clearing that could allow an extra degree of warming, while official thresholds for daily maximum temperature hinge on the warmest hourly observation. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 12–18 hours will clarify whether the ceiling reaches 32°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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