Persistent inflation pressures, with July PCE holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures around 3.3%, alongside the July FOMC's 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, anchor trader expectations for continued internal divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The wide dispersion across outcomes—led by three dissents at 31% implied probability—reflects uncertainty over whether additional voting members will align with the hawks amid mixed labor data and energy price risks, or whether softer incoming CPI and employment figures could consolidate support for the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds range. Upcoming releases before mid-September remain the key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月のFRB会合では何人が反対していますか?
3 31%
2 20%
4人以上 20%
1 19%
0
15%
1
19%
2
20%
3
31%
4人以上
20%
3 31%
2 20%
4人以上 20%
1 19%
0
15%
1
19%
2
20%
3
31%
4人以上
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation pressures, with July PCE holding near 3.7% year-over-year and core measures around 3.3%, alongside the July FOMC's 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring a 25-basis-point hike, anchor trader expectations for continued internal divisions at the September 15-16 meeting. The wide dispersion across outcomes—led by three dissents at 31% implied probability—reflects uncertainty over whether additional voting members will align with the hawks amid mixed labor data and energy price risks, or whether softer incoming CPI and employment figures could consolidate support for the current 3.50-3.75% federal funds range. Upcoming releases before mid-September remain the key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問