Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as the GOP nominee anchor trader consensus at 96% for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Risch secured the nomination with 67% in the May primary despite challengers, received President Trump's endorsement, and faces limited opposition after the Democratic primary winner withdrew, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the main alternative. Recent polls show Risch ahead by wide margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. The skin-in-the-game pricing accounts for historical voting patterns and structural advantages, though an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or dramatic national shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,675 Vol.
$28,675 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$28,675 Vol.
$28,675 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$14,658 Vol.
96%
民主党
$14,016 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as the GOP nominee anchor trader consensus at 96% for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Risch secured the nomination with 67% in the May primary despite challengers, received President Trump's endorsement, and faces limited opposition after the Democratic primary winner withdrew, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the main alternative. Recent polls show Risch ahead by wide margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. The skin-in-the-game pricing accounts for historical voting patterns and structural advantages, though an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or dramatic national shift could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$28,675終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as the GOP nominee anchor trader consensus at 96% for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Risch secured the nomination with 67% in the May primary despite challengers, received President Trump's endorsement, and faces limited opposition after the Democratic primary winner withdrew, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the main alternative. Recent polls show Risch ahead by wide margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. The skin-in-the-game pricing accounts for historical voting patterns and structural advantages, though an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or dramatic national shift could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$28,675終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's reliably Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as the GOP nominee anchor trader consensus at 96% for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Risch secured the nomination with 67% in the May primary despite challengers, received President Trump's endorsement, and faces limited opposition after the Democratic primary winner withdrew, leaving independent Todd Achilles as the main alternative. Recent polls show Risch ahead by wide margins consistent with the state's partisan lean. The skin-in-the-game pricing accounts for historical voting patterns and structural advantages, though an unforeseen health event, major scandal, or dramatic national shift could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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