Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds from an unsettled Atlantic-influenced pattern are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Amsterdam, keeping the August 29 low tightly clustered near 16–17°C according to model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF. Recent thunderstorms on the 28th have maintained high humidity and reduced clear-sky conditions that would otherwise allow greater temperature drops, while mild maritime air advection supports the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind gusts around 15–25 km/h account for the close contest between 15°C and 17°C resolutions, with updated overnight observations likely to refine the final minimum before sunrise on the 29th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のアムステルダムの最低気温は?
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
16°C 25%
12°C or below 16%
12°C or below
16%
13°C
15%
14°C
9%
15°C
30%
16°C
25%
17°C
27%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
4%
15°C 30%
17°C 27%
16°C 25%
12°C or below 16%
12°C or below
16%
13°C
15%
14°C
9%
15°C
30%
16°C
25%
17°C
27%
18°C
11%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly winds from an unsettled Atlantic-influenced pattern are limiting nighttime radiative cooling in Amsterdam, keeping the August 29 low tightly clustered near 16–17°C according to model consensus from sources like GFS and ECMWF. Recent thunderstorms on the 28th have maintained high humidity and reduced clear-sky conditions that would otherwise allow greater temperature drops, while mild maritime air advection supports the narrow spread among leading market outcomes. Minor model differences in precipitation timing and wind gusts around 15–25 km/h account for the close contest between 15°C and 17°C resolutions, with updated overnight observations likely to refine the final minimum before sunrise on the 29th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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