**Trader sentiment for Houston's lowest temperature on August 28, 2026, clusters around upper-70s values because National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 79°F under mostly clear skies following scattered storms on the 27th.** Typical late-August climatology features average lows of 75–76°F at Houston Hobby Airport, but persistent high humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Recent model runs show the minimum occurring near dawn on the 28th, with clearing conditions after evening convection reducing cloud cover and allowing modest cooling. The tight spread across 74–79°F bins reflects minor differences among guidance on exact minimums, while the low probability assigned to 86°F+ or sub-72°F outcomes aligns with the absence of strong cold-air advection or tropical moisture that could drive extremes. Key upcoming inputs include the next NWS forecast update and any revised model runs overnight, which could refine the precise threshold within the upper-70s range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のヒューストンの最低気温は?
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 49%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 26%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
26%
86°F or higher
3%
76-77°F 50%
74-75°F 49%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 26%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
26%
86°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Houston's lowest temperature on August 28, 2026, clusters around upper-70s values because National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows near 79°F under mostly clear skies following scattered storms on the 27th.** Typical late-August climatology features average lows of 75–76°F at Houston Hobby Airport, but persistent high humidity (dew points in the mid-70s) and light winds limit radiative cooling, keeping temperatures from falling sharply. Recent model runs show the minimum occurring near dawn on the 28th, with clearing conditions after evening convection reducing cloud cover and allowing modest cooling. The tight spread across 74–79°F bins reflects minor differences among guidance on exact minimums, while the low probability assigned to 86°F+ or sub-72°F outcomes aligns with the absence of strong cold-air advection or tropical moisture that could drive extremes. Key upcoming inputs include the next NWS forecast update and any revised model runs overnight, which could refine the precise threshold within the upper-70s range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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