Current forecasts from multiple models project overnight lows in Jeddah on September 3 near 28–30°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those levels. Seasonal norms place early-September minimums at approximately 27–29°C under typical Red Sea coastal conditions of high humidity, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies. Limited day-to-day variability and stable high-pressure patterns support the tight distribution of probabilities, while minor differences among forecast runs—such as slight shifts in wind speed or dew points—account for the roughly equal weighting of 28–31°C outcomes. Traders appear to price in this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のジェッダの最低気温は?
24℃以下 88%
25℃ 49%
26℃ 49%
27℃ 49%
24℃以下
88%
25℃
49%
26℃
49%
27℃
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33℃
49%
34°C以上
2%
24℃以下 88%
25℃ 49%
26℃ 49%
27℃ 49%
24℃以下
88%
25℃
49%
26℃
49%
27℃
49%
28°C
26%
29°C
27%
30°C
27%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33℃
49%
34°C以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models project overnight lows in Jeddah on September 3 near 28–30°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds around those levels. Seasonal norms place early-September minimums at approximately 27–29°C under typical Red Sea coastal conditions of high humidity, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies. Limited day-to-day variability and stable high-pressure patterns support the tight distribution of probabilities, while minor differences among forecast runs—such as slight shifts in wind speed or dew points—account for the roughly equal weighting of 28–31°C outcomes. Traders appear to price in this narrow scientific uncertainty ahead of final observational data.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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