**Trader sentiment for Karachi's August 21 lowest temperature centers on 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions along the Arabian Sea coast.** Climatological baselines show August overnight lows averaging near 27°C (81°F), with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and sea breezes that moderate nighttime temperature drops. These factors suppress radiative cooling and keep minima clustered in a narrow 25–28°C range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 26°C (39%) and 27°C (59%). Recent observational data from early-to-mid August 2026 indicate minimums mostly between 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light monsoon influence, though some periods of clearer conditions or slightly drier air allowed modest cooling. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and model consensus point to continued normal monsoon activity without strong systems or extreme humidity spikes on the 21st that would push temperatures notably lower (e.g., below 25°C) or higher. This stable pattern, combined with the coastal thermal moderation typical of the season, underpins the tight clustering around 26–27°C and the very low odds assigned to outliers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月21日のカラチの最低気温は?
24°C 64%
25°C 26%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
64%
25°C
26%
26°C
39%
27°C
59%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 64%
25°C 26%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
64%
25°C
26%
26°C
39%
27°C
59%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Karachi's August 21 lowest temperature centers on 26–27°C as the most probable outcomes, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions along the Arabian Sea coast.** Climatological baselines show August overnight lows averaging near 27°C (81°F), with limited diurnal cooling due to high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and sea breezes that moderate nighttime temperature drops. These factors suppress radiative cooling and keep minima clustered in a narrow 25–28°C range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 26°C (39%) and 27°C (59%). Recent observational data from early-to-mid August 2026 indicate minimums mostly between 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light monsoon influence, though some periods of clearer conditions or slightly drier air allowed modest cooling. Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) guidance and model consensus point to continued normal monsoon activity without strong systems or extreme humidity spikes on the 21st that would push temperatures notably lower (e.g., below 25°C) or higher. This stable pattern, combined with the coastal thermal moderation typical of the season, underpins the tight clustering around 26–27°C and the very low odds assigned to outliers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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