**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月8日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は?
60~61°F 100%
49°F以下 <1%
50~51°F <1%
52〜53°F <1%
$2,869 Vol.
$2,869 Vol.
49°F以下
いいえ
50~51°F
いいえ
52〜53°F
いいえ
54~55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58~59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
はい
62~63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
いいえ
66~67°F
いいえ
華氏68度以上
いいえ
60~61°F 100%
49°F以下 <1%
50~51°F <1%
52〜53°F <1%
$2,869 Vol.
$2,869 Vol.
49°F以下
いいえ
50~51°F
いいえ
52〜53°F
いいえ
54~55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58~59°F
いいえ
60~61°F
はい
62~63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
いいえ
66~67°F
いいえ
華氏68度以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
**Official observations from the National Weather Service confirm a minimum temperature of 61°F at San Francisco International Airport on September 8, 2026, at 5:45 a.m. local time—five degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 56°F.** This reading, recorded under hazy conditions with light winds and no precipitation, aligns directly with the market's dominant 60–61°F outcome at 95.5% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects the authoritative climatological report from the primary station used for resolution, consistent with surrounding daily highs near 87°F and the absence of any cooler coastal or urban microclimate signals in preliminary data. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision or use of an alternate station showing a lower value, though historical patterns and model agreement make significant downward adjustments unlikely before final certification.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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