Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to overnight lows in Taipei on September 6 settling between 23°C and 25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating northwest winds under typical late-summer humidity levels near 90%. These conditions limit radiative cooling while preventing significant drops below seasonal baselines, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C (49%) and nearby outcomes like 24°C and 26°C. Updated model runs show minor variability tied to precipitation timing, but no typhoon or cold surge signals have emerged to shift the range. Traders appear to weigh official agency guidance on diurnal temperature swings against historical September minima around 24°C, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour minimum readings from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の台北の最低気温は？
9月6日の台北の最低気温は？
22℃ 49%
23°C 49%
25℃ 49%
28℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
20℃以下
35%
21℃
47%
22℃
49%
23°C
49%
24°C
26%
25℃
49%
26℃
27%
27℃
48%
28℃
49%
29°C
2%
30°C以上
35%
22℃ 49%
23°C 49%
25℃ 49%
28℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
20℃以下
$0 Vol.
35%
21℃
$0 Vol.
47%
22℃
$0 Vol.
49%
23°C
$0 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25℃
$0 Vol.
49%
26℃
$0 Vol.
27%
27℃
$0 Vol.
48%
28℃
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C以上
$0 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to overnight lows in Taipei on September 6 settling between 23°C and 25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating northwest winds under typical late-summer humidity levels near 90%. These conditions limit radiative cooling while preventing significant drops below seasonal baselines, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C (49%) and nearby outcomes like 24°C and 26°C. Updated model runs show minor variability tied to precipitation timing, but no typhoon or cold surge signals have emerged to shift the range. Traders appear to weigh official agency guidance on diurnal temperature swings against historical September minima around 24°C, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour minimum readings from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to overnight lows in Taipei on September 6 settling between 23°C and 25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating northwest winds under typical late-summer humidity levels near 90%. These conditions limit radiative cooling while preventing significant drops below seasonal baselines, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C (49%) and nearby outcomes like 24°C and 26°C. Updated model runs show minor variability tied to precipitation timing, but no typhoon or cold surge signals have emerged to shift the range. Traders appear to weigh official agency guidance on diurnal temperature swings against historical September minima around 24°C, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour minimum readings from local stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast consensus from meteorological models points to overnight lows in Taipei on September 6 settling between 23°C and 25°C, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderating northwest winds under typical late-summer humidity levels near 90%. These conditions limit radiative cooling while preventing significant drops below seasonal baselines, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 25°C (49%) and nearby outcomes like 24°C and 26°C. Updated model runs show minor variability tied to precipitation timing, but no typhoon or cold surge signals have emerged to shift the range. Traders appear to weigh official agency guidance on diurnal temperature swings against historical September minima around 24°C, with resolution hinging on precise 24-hour minimum readings from local stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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