Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow. This positioning reflects reduced radiational cooling from cloud cover and modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping minimums above the early-September climatological average of around 10°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 12–14°C outcomes because small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or clearer breaks remain unlikely based on current guidance. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のワルシャワの最低気温は?
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 39%
13°C 32%
12°C 31%
9°C or below
39%
10°C
3%
11°C
15%
12°C
31%
13°C
32%
14°C
24%
15°C
24%
16°C
14%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
44%
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 39%
13°C 32%
12°C 31%
9°C or below
39%
10°C
3%
11°C
15%
12°C
31%
13°C
32%
14°C
24%
15°C
24%
16°C
14%
17°C
6%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
44%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate overnight lows in Warsaw on September 3 near 13–16°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly flow. This positioning reflects reduced radiational cooling from cloud cover and modest warm advection ahead of a weak frontal boundary, keeping minimums above the early-September climatological average of around 10°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 12–14°C outcomes because small variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while stronger winds or clearer breaks remain unlikely based on current guidance. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will refine the precise minimum before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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