**Forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 4 will likely settle in the 15–16°C range overnight into early morning, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes near 50%.** Current GFS and ECMWF guidance show a transition to mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds and a chance of showers or thunderstorms, which should limit radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. Daytime highs are projected around 20–21°C on the 3rd before moderating, with dew points rising into the mid-teens Celsius and humidity climbing above 80% at night. These factors support minimums near or slightly below the recent nocturnal readings of 15–17°C. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any precipitation or wind shifts, which could nudge the actual low by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月4日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
17℃ 82%
13℃ 81%
14℃ 81%
19°C 81%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
12℃以下
49%
13℃
81%
14℃
81%
15℃
51%
16°C
48%
17℃
82%
18℃
80%
19°C
81%
20°C
8%
21℃
2%
22℃以上
49%
17℃ 82%
13℃ 81%
14℃ 81%
19°C 81%
新規
新規
2026/09/04
12℃以下
$0 Vol.
49%
13℃
$0 Vol.
81%
14℃
$0 Vol.
81%
15℃
$0 Vol.
51%
16°C
$0 Vol.
48%
17℃
$0 Vol.
82%
18℃
$0 Vol.
80%
19°C
$0 Vol.
81%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21℃
$0 Vol.
2%
22℃以上
$0 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 4 will likely settle in the 15–16°C range overnight into early morning, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes near 50%.**
Current GFS and ECMWF guidance show a transition to mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds and a chance of showers or thunderstorms, which should limit radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. Daytime highs are projected around 20–21°C on the 3rd before moderating, with dew points rising into the mid-teens Celsius and humidity climbing above 80% at night. These factors support minimums near or slightly below the recent nocturnal readings of 15–17°C. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any precipitation or wind shifts, which could nudge the actual low by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 4 will likely settle in the 15–16°C range overnight into early morning, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes near 50%.**
Current GFS and ECMWF guidance show a transition to mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds and a chance of showers or thunderstorms, which should limit radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. Daytime highs are projected around 20–21°C on the 3rd before moderating, with dew points rising into the mid-teens Celsius and humidity climbing above 80% at night. These factors support minimums near or slightly below the recent nocturnal readings of 15–17°C. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any precipitation or wind shifts, which could nudge the actual low by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Forecast models indicate the lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 4 will likely settle in the 15–16°C range overnight into early morning, consistent with market-implied odds favoring those two outcomes near 50%.** Current GFS and ECMWF guidance show a transition to mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds and a chance of showers or thunderstorms, which should limit radiational cooling compared to clearer conditions. Daytime highs are projected around 20–21°C on the 3rd before moderating, with dew points rising into the mid-teens Celsius and humidity climbing above 80% at night. These factors support minimums near or slightly below the recent nocturnal readings of 15–17°C. Model consensus remains tight but sensitive to the exact timing and intensity of any precipitation or wind shifts, which could nudge the actual low by 1°C either way before official observations finalize the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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