**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional high-resolution runs place the overnight minimum in Warsaw near 14–15 °C under building high pressure (1018–1020 hPa) and light westerly flow.** Partly cloudy skies allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–23 °C, while dew points around 12–13 °C and minimal wind shear limit further drops. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing among model members account for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C; clearer conditions or slightly stronger winds could push the recorded low 1–2 °C lower, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would keep it nearer 15 °C. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima ~10–12 °C) provides context, but current synoptic stability favors the higher end of that range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月2日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
14°C 51%
15°C 50%
13°C 50%
12°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
9°C or below
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
2%
12°C
49%
13°C
50%
14°C
51%
15°C
50%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 51%
15°C 50%
13°C 50%
12°C 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/02
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
10°C
$89 Vol.
3%
11°C
$85 Vol.
2%
12°C
$0 Vol.
49%
13°C
$0 Vol.
50%
14°C
$0 Vol.
51%
15°C
$0 Vol.
50%
16°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional high-resolution runs place the overnight minimum in Warsaw near 14–15 °C under building high pressure (1018–1020 hPa) and light westerly flow.** Partly cloudy skies allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–23 °C, while dew points around 12–13 °C and minimal wind shear limit further drops. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing among model members account for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C; clearer conditions or slightly stronger winds could push the recorded low 1–2 °C lower, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would keep it nearer 15 °C. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima ~10–12 °C) provides context, but current synoptic stability favors the higher end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$339終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional high-resolution runs place the overnight minimum in Warsaw near 14–15 °C under building high pressure (1018–1020 hPa) and light westerly flow.** Partly cloudy skies allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–23 °C, while dew points around 12–13 °C and minimal wind shear limit further drops. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing among model members account for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C; clearer conditions or slightly stronger winds could push the recorded low 1–2 °C lower, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would keep it nearer 15 °C. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima ~10–12 °C) provides context, but current synoptic stability favors the higher end of that range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$339終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Latest ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS and regional high-resolution runs place the overnight minimum in Warsaw near 14–15 °C under building high pressure (1018–1020 hPa) and light westerly flow.** Partly cloudy skies allow moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–23 °C, while dew points around 12–13 °C and minimal wind shear limit further drops. Small differences in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing among model members account for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 12–15 °C; clearer conditions or slightly stronger winds could push the recorded low 1–2 °C lower, whereas increased low-level moisture or residual cloud would keep it nearer 15 °C. Historical early-September climatology (typical minima ~10–12 °C) provides context, but current synoptic stability favors the higher end of that range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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