Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's overnight low on September 6 near 11–13 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with early-September climatology. The market's 50 % split between 8 °C or below and 18 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible timing of any weak frontal passage, rather than a clear warm or cold anomaly. Mid-range outcomes (11–14 °C) capture the consensus trajectory, while the low-probability tails price tail-risk shifts from faster advection of cooler maritime air or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月6日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
8℃以下 100%
18℃以上 100%
13°C 49%
14℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
8℃以下
100%
9°C
37%
10°C
23%
11℃
29%
12℃
27%
13°C
49%
14℃
49%
15°C
37%
16℃
2%
17℃
37%
18℃以上
100%
8℃以下 100%
18℃以上 100%
13°C 49%
14℃ 49%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
8℃以下
$0 Vol.
100%
9°C
$0 Vol.
37%
10°C
$0 Vol.
23%
11℃
$0 Vol.
29%
12℃
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14℃
$0 Vol.
49%
15°C
$0 Vol.
37%
16℃
$0 Vol.
2%
17℃
$0 Vol.
37%
18℃以上
$0 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's overnight low on September 6 near 11–13 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with early-September climatology. The market's 50 % split between 8 °C or below and 18 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible timing of any weak frontal passage, rather than a clear warm or cold anomaly. Mid-range outcomes (11–14 °C) capture the consensus trajectory, while the low-probability tails price tail-risk shifts from faster advection of cooler maritime air or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's overnight low on September 6 near 11–13 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with early-September climatology. The market's 50 % split between 8 °C or below and 18 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible timing of any weak frontal passage, rather than a clear warm or cold anomaly. Mid-range outcomes (11–14 °C) capture the consensus trajectory, while the low-probability tails price tail-risk shifts from faster advection of cooler maritime air or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models place Warsaw's overnight low on September 6 near 11–13 °C under westerly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with early-September climatology. The market's 50 % split between 8 °C or below and 18 °C or higher reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and possible timing of any weak frontal passage, rather than a clear warm or cold anomaly. Mid-range outcomes (11–14 °C) capture the consensus trajectory, while the low-probability tails price tail-risk shifts from faster advection of cooler maritime air or unexpected clear-sky radiational cooling. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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