Latest meteorological forecasts and real-time observational data from official Chinese weather services indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Wuhan on September 11, driving the overwhelming market consensus. Regional models show stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cooler air intrusions, with overnight lows aligning closely to this threshold amid typical early-autumn humidity levels. Historical climatology for the city supports September minima in the mid-teens Celsius as the seasonal norm. While ensemble spreads remain narrow, minor forecast revisions from updated runs or localized microclimate effects could still shift the recorded low by 1°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月11日の武漢の最低気温は?
17℃ 100.0%
16℃ 20%
14℃以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
$715 Vol.
$715 Vol.
14℃以下
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
はい
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃以上
いいえ
17℃ 100.0%
16℃ 20%
14℃以下 <1%
15℃ <1%
$715 Vol.
$715 Vol.
14℃以下
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃
はい
18℃
いいえ
19℃
いいえ
20℃
いいえ
21℃
いいえ
22°C
いいえ
23℃
いいえ
24℃以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Latest meteorological forecasts and real-time observational data from official Chinese weather services indicate a minimum temperature of 17°C in Wuhan on September 11, driving the overwhelming market consensus. Regional models show stable high-pressure conditions suppressing cooler air intrusions, with overnight lows aligning closely to this threshold amid typical early-autumn humidity levels. Historical climatology for the city supports September minima in the mid-teens Celsius as the seasonal norm. While ensemble spreads remain narrow, minor forecast revisions from updated runs or localized microclimate effects could still shift the recorded low by 1°C, though such adjustments appear unlikely given current atmospheric stability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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