Recent forecasts indicate a weak cold air surge from the north is the main driver cooling Wuhan's overnight minimum on September 9, with northerly winds strengthening to 3–4 on the Beaufort scale and gusts up to 7. This advection, combined with reduced cloud cover, promotes greater radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31 °C. Multiple models converge on a low of 19–21 °C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 21–22 °C implied probabilities. September climatology for Wuhan typically features overnight minima near 22 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited model disagreement against lingering uncertainty in exact wind timing and local urban heat effects before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月9日の武漢の最低気温は？
9月9日の武漢の最低気温は？
22℃ 35%
21℃ 27%
20℃ 26%
23℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
18℃以下
8%
19℃
6%
20℃
26%
21℃
27%
22℃
35%
23℃
26%
24℃
6%
25℃
6%
26℃
7%
27℃
8%
28°C以上
1%
22℃ 35%
21℃ 27%
20℃ 26%
23℃ 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/09
18℃以下
$50 Vol.
8%
19℃
$10 Vol.
6%
20℃
$0 Vol.
26%
21℃
$0 Vol.
27%
22℃
$0 Vol.
35%
23℃
$0 Vol.
26%
24℃
$0 Vol.
6%
25℃
$0 Vol.
6%
26℃
$43 Vol.
7%
27℃
$112 Vol.
8%
28°C以上
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a weak cold air surge from the north is the main driver cooling Wuhan's overnight minimum on September 9, with northerly winds strengthening to 3–4 on the Beaufort scale and gusts up to 7. This advection, combined with reduced cloud cover, promotes greater radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31 °C. Multiple models converge on a low of 19–21 °C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 21–22 °C implied probabilities. September climatology for Wuhan typically features overnight minima near 22 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited model disagreement against lingering uncertainty in exact wind timing and local urban heat effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$253終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate a weak cold air surge from the north is the main driver cooling Wuhan's overnight minimum on September 9, with northerly winds strengthening to 3–4 on the Beaufort scale and gusts up to 7. This advection, combined with reduced cloud cover, promotes greater radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31 °C. Multiple models converge on a low of 19–21 °C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 21–22 °C implied probabilities. September climatology for Wuhan typically features overnight minima near 22 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited model disagreement against lingering uncertainty in exact wind timing and local urban heat effects before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$253終了日
2026/09/09マーケット開始日
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts indicate a weak cold air surge from the north is the main driver cooling Wuhan's overnight minimum on September 9, with northerly winds strengthening to 3–4 on the Beaufort scale and gusts up to 7. This advection, combined with reduced cloud cover, promotes greater radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–31 °C. Multiple models converge on a low of 19–21 °C, aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around 21–22 °C implied probabilities. September climatology for Wuhan typically features overnight minima near 22 °C, so the current setup represents a modest but measurable departure. Traders appear to weigh the narrow forecast spread and limited model disagreement against lingering uncertainty in exact wind timing and local urban heat effects before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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