Skip to main content
icon for スルプスカ共和国大統領選挙

スルプスカ共和国大統領選挙

icon for スルプスカ共和国大統領選挙

スルプスカ共和国大統領選挙

サヴォ・ミニッチ 60%

ブランコ・ブラヌシャ 37%

チャミル・ドゥラコヴィッチ 3.6%

ベギヤ・スマイッチ 3.5%

Polymarket
新規

サヴォ・ミニッチ 60%

ブランコ・ブラヌシャ 37%

チャミル・ドゥラコヴィッチ 3.6%

ベギヤ・スマイッチ 3.5%

Polymarket
新規
icon for サヴォ・ミニッチ

サヴォ・ミニッチ

$589 Vol.

60%

icon for ブランコ・ブラヌシャ

ブランコ・ブラヌシャ

$443 Vol.

37%

icon for チャミル・ドゥラコヴィッチ

チャミル・ドゥラコヴィッチ

$108 Vol.

4%

icon for ベギヤ・スマイッチ

ベギヤ・スマイッチ

$108 Vol.

4%

icon for ユスフ・アリファギッチ

ユスフ・アリファギッチ

$119 Vol.

4%

icon for ボグダン・ヨヴァノヴィッチ

ボグダン・ヨヴァノヴィッチ

$45 Vol.

<1%

icon for ラミズ・サルキッチ

ラミズ・サルキッチ

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for イヴァン・ベギッチ

イヴァン・ベギッチ

$79 Vol.

<1%

icon for イゴール・バルクチッチ

イゴール・バルクチッチ

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for フランヨ・ユキッチ

フランヨ・ユキッチ

$101 Vol.

<1%

icon for マルコ・ヨルジッチ

マルコ・ヨルジッチ

$81 Vol.

<1%

icon for イヴォ・カメニャシェヴィッチ

イヴォ・カメニャシェヴィッチ

$81 Vol.

<1%

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Republika Srpska presidential race due to his nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition, which secured unified backing from coalition partners in June 2026. As incumbent prime minister since September 2025, Minić benefits from the party's established organizational strength and performance patterns in prior entity-level contests ahead of the October 4, 2026, general elections. Branko Blanuša of the SDS serves as the primary opposition challenger but trails amid a fragmented field that includes multiple candidates for vice-presidential roles. Lower-probability outcomes for figures such as Begija Smajić, Ćamil Duraković, and others reflect limited party infrastructure and voter bases, while the broader market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency and coalition coordination in the Serb-majority entity.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,954
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.izbori.ba/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Savo Minić holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Republika Srpska presidential race due to his nomination as the candidate of the ruling SNSD-led coalition, which secured unified backing from coalition partners in June 2026. As incumbent prime minister since September 2025, Minić benefits from the party's established organizational strength and performance patterns in prior entity-level contests ahead of the October 4, 2026, general elections. Branko Blanuša of the SDS serves as the primary opposition challenger but trails amid a fragmented field that includes multiple candidates for vice-presidential roles. Lower-probability outcomes for figures such as Begija Smajić, Ćamil Duraković, and others reflect limited party infrastructure and voter bases, while the broader market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency and coalition coordination in the Serb-majority entity.

General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count.

Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count.

If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,954
終了日
2026/10/04
マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 2:08 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.izbori.ba/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「スルプスカ共和国大統領選挙」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「サヴォ・ミニッチ」で60%、次いで「ブランコ・ブラヌシャ」が37%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、60¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に60%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「スルプスカ共和国大統領選挙」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 24, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「スルプスカ共和国大統領選挙」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「スルプスカ共和国大統領選挙」の現在のフロントランナーは「サヴォ・ミニッチ」で60%であり、市場がこの結果に60%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ブランコ・ブラヌシャ」で37%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「スルプスカ共和国大統領選挙」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。