A federal judge's ruling on March 31 halted President Trump's White House East Wing ballroom construction project, determining that congressional approval is required for alterations to federally owned property, as the president serves as steward rather than owner. This preliminary injunction from U.S. District Judge Richard Leon, stemming from a lawsuit by the National Trust for Historic Preservation, has blocked progress amid prior delays from over 32,000 public comments opposing the $400 million privately funded plan during National Capital Planning Commission review. With Trump signaling an appeal but no swift congressional action likely before the April 30 deadline, traders price a 71% implied probability on continued blockage, reflecting procedural hurdles and political opposition in a divided Congress.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
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2026/04/30
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新規
2026/04/30
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's ruling on March 31 halted President Trump's White House East Wing ballroom construction project, determining that congressional approval is required for alterations to federally owned property, as the president serves as steward rather than owner. This preliminary injunction from U.S. District Judge Richard Leon, stemming from a lawsuit by the National Trust for Historic Preservation, has blocked progress amid prior delays from over 32,000 public comments opposing the $400 million privately funded plan during National Capital Planning Commission review. With Trump signaling an appeal but no swift congressional action likely before the April 30 deadline, traders price a 71% implied probability on continued blockage, reflecting procedural hurdles and political opposition in a divided Congress.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
音量
$280終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.A federal judge's ruling on March 31 halted President Trump's White House East Wing ballroom construction project, determining that congressional approval is required for alterations to federally owned property, as the president serves as steward rather than owner. This preliminary injunction from U.S. District Judge Richard Leon, stemming from a lawsuit by the National Trust for Historic Preservation, has blocked progress amid prior delays from over 32,000 public comments opposing the $400 million privately funded plan during National Capital Planning Commission review. With Trump signaling an appeal but no swift congressional action likely before the April 30 deadline, traders price a 71% implied probability on continued blockage, reflecting procedural hurdles and political opposition in a divided Congress.
A federal judge recently issued a preliminary injunction to halt construction of Donald Trump’s White House ballroom project (see: https://edition.cnn.com/2026/03/31/politics/judge-rules-that-white-house-ballroom-contstuction-stop).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any point between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, there are no federal court orders in effect that block construction of the White House ballroom project. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “block” refers to any federal court order, including a temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, or substantially similar order, that prohibits or materially restricts construction of the ballroom project.
A court order will be considered “in effect” upon issuance unless it has been formally lifted, vacated, expired, or otherwise invalidated such that it is no longer legally enforceable (e.g., through actions of a higher court). Orders for which enforcement is delayed pending further review (e.g. through a temporary administrative stay, or stay pending appeal) will still be considered “in effect”.
If the White House ballroom project receives congressional approval such that all court orders blocking construction are invalidated or rendered unenforceable, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from relevant federal courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$280終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A federal judge's ruling on March 31 halted President Trump's White House East Wing ballroom construction project, determining that congressional approval is required for alterations to federally owned property, as the president serves as steward rather than owner. This preliminary injunction from U.S. District Judge Richard Leon, stemming from a lawsuit by the National Trust for Historic Preservation, has blocked progress amid prior delays from over 32,000 public comments opposing the $400 million privately funded plan during National Capital Planning Commission review. With Trump signaling an appeal but no swift congressional action likely before the April 30 deadline, traders price a 71% implied probability on continued blockage, reflecting procedural hurdles and political opposition in a divided Congress.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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