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icon for 米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ?

米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ?

icon for 米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ?

米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ?

6月 30

6月 30

$1,333,917 Vol.

2026/01/31
Polymarket

$1,333,917 Vol.

Polymarket

6月30日

$249,154 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,333,917
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a brief special operations raid on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife in Caracas under Operation Absolute Resolve as part of a broader pressure campaign focused on drug trafficking designations and naval interdictions. The limited strike involved targeted airstrikes on air defenses and infrastructure but concluded rapidly with few US casualties and no sustained ground presence. Venezuela’s interim authorities under Delcy Rodríguez assumed power, and the United States re-established diplomatic relations in March 2026, reopening its embassy and shifting toward engagement on stability and energy issues. Trader assessments of any renewed entry hinge on whether political transition timelines, oil sector negotiations, or regional security developments prompt further US military involvement before the market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,333,917
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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よくある質問

「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ?」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「6月30日」で5%、次いで「1月10日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、5¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に5%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ?」は$1.3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ?」の現在のリーダーは「6月30日」でわずか5%、「1月10日」が0%で僅差です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「米軍が再びベネズエラに侵入したのは... ?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。