Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracking for Q2 2026 hovers near 3.0 percent, supported by May's resilient labor market data showing 172,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a steady 4.3 percent unemployment rate. However, the downward revision to Q1 growth at 1.6 percent, combined with elevated inflation from energy price spikes tied to Middle East developments and tariff effects, has tempered expectations. Professional forecasters project Q2 expansion around 2.1 percent amid these crosscurrents. With Polymarket probabilities tightly clustered between 2.0–3.5 percent, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether consumer spending and investment can sustain momentum or if policy headwinds will pull the reading lower ahead of the July advance estimate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2.0–2.5% 29%
1.5–2.0% 28%
2.5–3.0% 20%
3.0–3.5% 17.8%
$15,755 Vol.
$15,755 Vol.
2026/07/30
<1.0%
5%
1.0–1.5%
15%
1.5–2.0%
28%
2.0–2.5%
29%
2.5–3.0%
20%
3.0–3.5%
15%
≥3.5%
5%
2.0–2.5% 29%
1.5–2.0% 28%
2.5–3.0% 20%
3.0–3.5% 17.8%
$15,755 Vol.
$15,755 Vol.
2026/07/30
<1.0%
$2,330 Vol.
5%
1.0–1.5%
$1,666 Vol.
15%
1.5–2.0%
$2,793 Vol.
28%
2.0–2.5%
$2,509 Vol.
29%
2.5–3.0%
$2,175 Vol.
20%
3.0–3.5%
$1,678 Vol.
15%
≥3.5%
$2,604 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracking for Q2 2026 hovers near 3.0 percent, supported by May's resilient labor market data showing 172,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a steady 4.3 percent unemployment rate. However, the downward revision to Q1 growth at 1.6 percent, combined with elevated inflation from energy price spikes tied to Middle East developments and tariff effects, has tempered expectations. Professional forecasters project Q2 expansion around 2.1 percent amid these crosscurrents. With Polymarket probabilities tightly clustered between 2.0–3.5 percent, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether consumer spending and investment can sustain momentum or if policy headwinds will pull the reading lower ahead of the July advance estimate.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
音量
$15,755終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracking for Q2 2026 hovers near 3.0 percent, supported by May's resilient labor market data showing 172,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a steady 4.3 percent unemployment rate. However, the downward revision to Q1 growth at 1.6 percent, combined with elevated inflation from energy price spikes tied to Middle East developments and tariff effects, has tempered expectations. Professional forecasters project Q2 expansion around 2.1 percent amid these crosscurrents. With Polymarket probabilities tightly clustered between 2.0–3.5 percent, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether consumer spending and investment can sustain momentum or if policy headwinds will pull the reading lower ahead of the July advance estimate.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
音量
$15,755終了日
2026/07/30マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow tracking for Q2 2026 hovers near 3.0 percent, supported by May's resilient labor market data showing 172,000 nonfarm payroll gains and a steady 4.3 percent unemployment rate. However, the downward revision to Q1 growth at 1.6 percent, combined with elevated inflation from energy price spikes tied to Middle East developments and tariff effects, has tempered expectations. Professional forecasters project Q2 expansion around 2.1 percent amid these crosscurrents. With Polymarket probabilities tightly clustered between 2.0–3.5 percent, trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over whether consumer spending and investment can sustain momentum or if policy headwinds will pull the reading lower ahead of the July advance estimate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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