Amid heightened US-Iran tensions including a US-enforced blockade on Iranian ports and disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, the first direct talks in decades concluded in Islamabad on April 13 without agreement on nuclear constraints or ceasefire terms, though both sides signaled openness to dialogue. Pakistani mediators arrived in Tehran on April 15 to arrange a second round, with President Trump stating negotiations could resume within days and UN Secretary-General Guterres urging resumption alongside respect for maritime freedom. Back-channel diplomacy persists amid Israel-Lebanon ceasefire efforts, positioning traders to weigh de-escalation signals against persistent military posturing for near-term meeting prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,024,424 Vol.
2026/04/30
4月15日
<1%
4月16日
2%
4月17日
10%
4月18日
23%
4月22日
73%
4月30日
87%
$1,024,424 Vol.
4月15日
$59,418 Vol.
<1%
4月16日
$80,722 Vol.
2%
4月17日
$35,669 Vol.
10%
4月18日
$521,121 Vol.
23%
4月22日
$222,101 Vol.
73%
4月30日
$105,905 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions including a US-enforced blockade on Iranian ports and disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, the first direct talks in decades concluded in Islamabad on April 13 without agreement on nuclear constraints or ceasefire terms, though both sides signaled openness to dialogue. Pakistani mediators arrived in Tehran on April 15 to arrange a second round, with President Trump stating negotiations could resume within days and UN Secretary-General Guterres urging resumption alongside respect for maritime freedom. Back-channel diplomacy persists amid Israel-Lebanon ceasefire efforts, positioning traders to weigh de-escalation signals against persistent military posturing for near-term meeting prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ET
音量
$1,024,424終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions including a US-enforced blockade on Iranian ports and disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, the first direct talks in decades concluded in Islamabad on April 13 without agreement on nuclear constraints or ceasefire terms, though both sides signaled openness to dialogue. Pakistani mediators arrived in Tehran on April 15 to arrange a second round, with President Trump stating negotiations could resume within days and UN Secretary-General Guterres urging resumption alongside respect for maritime freedom. Back-channel diplomacy persists amid Israel-Lebanon ceasefire efforts, positioning traders to weigh de-escalation signals against persistent military posturing for near-term meeting prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,024,424終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions including a US-enforced blockade on Iranian ports and disputes over Strait of Hormuz navigation, the first direct talks in decades concluded in Islamabad on April 13 without agreement on nuclear constraints or ceasefire terms, though both sides signaled openness to dialogue. Pakistani mediators arrived in Tehran on April 15 to arrange a second round, with President Trump stating negotiations could resume within days and UN Secretary-General Guterres urging resumption alongside respect for maritime freedom. Back-channel diplomacy persists amid Israel-Lebanon ceasefire efforts, positioning traders to weigh de-escalation signals against persistent military posturing for near-term meeting prospects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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