Recent face-to-face US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, the first high-level direct diplomatic engagement since 1979, involved US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The 21-hour marathon session ended without a deal, with Vance citing Iran's rejection of US terms and Tehran downplaying expectations for the initial round. Diplomats are now arranging a second round, potentially within days via Pakistani mediation, amid a US blockade, expiring ceasefire, and nuclear standoff. President Trump expressed optimism for progress, signaling trader focus on escalation risks versus breakthrough potential before key deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,044,716 Vol.
2026/04/30
4月15日
<1%
4月16日
2%
4月17日
10%
4月18日
22%
4月22日
73%
4月30日
89%
$1,044,716 Vol.
4月15日
$69,659 Vol.
<1%
4月16日
$80,722 Vol.
2%
4月17日
$35,680 Vol.
10%
4月18日
$521,766 Vol.
22%
4月22日
$222,471 Vol.
73%
4月30日
$114,418 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent face-to-face US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, the first high-level direct diplomatic engagement since 1979, involved US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The 21-hour marathon session ended without a deal, with Vance citing Iran's rejection of US terms and Tehran downplaying expectations for the initial round. Diplomats are now arranging a second round, potentially within days via Pakistani mediation, amid a US blockade, expiring ceasefire, and nuclear standoff. President Trump expressed optimism for progress, signaling trader focus on escalation risks versus breakthrough potential before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
音量
$1,044,716終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent face-to-face US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, the first high-level direct diplomatic engagement since 1979, involved US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The 21-hour marathon session ended without a deal, with Vance citing Iran's rejection of US terms and Tehran downplaying expectations for the initial round. Diplomats are now arranging a second round, potentially within days via Pakistani mediation, amid a US blockade, expiring ceasefire, and nuclear standoff. President Trump expressed optimism for progress, signaling trader focus on escalation risks versus breakthrough potential before key deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,044,716終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Apr 12, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent face-to-face US-Iran talks in Islamabad on April 11-12, the first high-level direct diplomatic engagement since 1979, involved US Vice President JD Vance, envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf alongside Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The 21-hour marathon session ended without a deal, with Vance citing Iran's rejection of US terms and Tehran downplaying expectations for the initial round. Diplomats are now arranging a second round, potentially within days via Pakistani mediation, amid a US blockade, expiring ceasefire, and nuclear standoff. President Trump expressed optimism for progress, signaling trader focus on escalation risks versus breakthrough potential before key deadlines.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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