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4月30日までに、トランプ大統領は誰を公然と侮辱するでしょうか?

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4月30日までに、トランプ大統領は誰を公然と侮辱するでしょうか?

$61,998 Vol.

2026/04/30
Polymarket

$61,998 Vol.

Polymarket
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$40 Vol.

63%

ドナルド・トランプは2026年4月30日までにバラク・オバマを公然と侮辱しますか? icon

バラク・オバマ

$1,683 Vol.

67%

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マージョリー・テイラー・グリーン

$167 Vol.

49%

2026年4月30日までにドナルド・トランプはレオ14世ローマ教皇を公然と侮辱しますか? icon

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$1,711 Vol.

28%

ドナルド・トランプは2026年4月30日までにタッカー・カールソンを公の場で侮辱しますか? icon

タッカー・カールソン

$763 Vol.

30%

ドナルド・トランプは2026年4月30日までにメーガン・ケリーを公に侮辱しますか? icon

メーガン・ケリー

$0 Vol.

29%

ドナルド・トランプは2026年4月30日までにアレックス・ジョーンズを公に侮辱しますか? icon

アレックス・ジョーンズ

$1,314 Vol.

14%

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パム・ボンディ

$451 Vol.

8%

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$6,047 Vol.

5%

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$842 Vol.

3%

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ヴィクトル・オルバン

$3,319 Vol.

2%

ドナルド・トランプは2026年4月30日までにウラジーミル・プーチンを公に侮辱しますか? icon

ウラジーミル・プーチン

$1,464 Vol.

2%

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$5,284 Vol.

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$6,195 Vol.

2%

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$5,306 Vol.

1%

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$47 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent escalation of personal attacks on Truth Social, particularly his sharp insults against Pope Leo—labeling the pontiff "too liberal" and "weak on crime" following criticism of U.S. Iran war policy—has dominated headlines and likely influences trader bets on his next public target by April 30. The feud, including a now-deleted post depicting Trump in a Christ-like image amid backlash from global Catholics, builds on earlier barbs at conservative critics like Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens over their skepticism of military escalation against Iran. With ongoing conflict diplomacy, potential press events, and Trump's history of rapid-fire invective against policy opponents, media figures, and foreign leaders, markets reflect uncertainty on whether the pope spat continues or shifts to new adversaries like administration holdouts or congressional doves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$61,998
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent escalation of personal attacks on Truth Social, particularly his sharp insults against Pope Leo—labeling the pontiff "too liberal" and "weak on crime" following criticism of U.S. Iran war policy—has dominated headlines and likely influences trader bets on his next public target by April 30. The feud, including a now-deleted post depicting Trump in a Christ-like image amid backlash from global Catholics, builds on earlier barbs at conservative critics like Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens over their skepticism of military escalation against Iran. With ongoing conflict diplomacy, potential press events, and Trump's history of rapid-fire invective against policy opponents, media figures, and foreign leaders, markets reflect uncertainty on whether the pope spat continues or shifts to new adversaries like administration holdouts or congressional doves.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$61,998
終了日
2026/04/30
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「4月30日までに、トランプ大統領は誰を公然と侮辱するでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の17個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョー・バイデン」で100%、次いで「バラク・オバマ」が67%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「4月30日までに、トランプ大統領は誰を公然と侮辱するでしょうか?」は$62Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Apr 13, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「4月30日までに、トランプ大統領は誰を公然と侮辱するでしょうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている17個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「4月30日までに、トランプ大統領は誰を公然と侮辱するでしょうか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョー・バイデン」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「バラク・オバマ」で67%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「4月30日までに、トランプ大統領は誰を公然と侮辱するでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。