Chun Jae-soo commands trader consensus at 80% implied probability as the Democratic Party of Korea's nominee following his primary victory over Rep. Lee Jae-sung last week, bolstered by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10–13 points, such as a Busan Ilbo survey with Chun at 48% to Park's 35%. Park holds 18% amid his own primary win over Rep. Joo Jin-woo, leveraging incumbency from 2021 by-election and 2022 victories, though Busan's traditional conservative lean faces challenge in this June 3 local election battleground. Minor candidates like Cho Kuk trail far behind due to the dominant two-party dynamic, with upcoming campaign events and potential by-elections in districts like Buk-gu as key variables.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자
2026년 부산시장 선거 당선자
천제수 80%
박형준 18%
조국 <1%
김도읍 <1%
$396,260 거래량
$396,260 거래량

천제수
80%

박형준
18%

조국
1%

김도읍
<1%

박성훈
<1%

조경태
<1%

최인호
<1%

이재성
<1%

홍순헌
<1%

김영춘
<1%

박재호
<1%

서병수
<1%
천제수 80%
박형준 18%
조국 <1%
김도읍 <1%
$396,260 거래량
$396,260 거래량

천제수
80%

박형준
18%

조국
1%

김도읍
<1%

박성훈
<1%

조경태
<1%

최인호
<1%

이재성
<1%

홍순헌
<1%

김영춘
<1%

박재호
<1%

서병수
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
마켓 개설일: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chun Jae-soo commands trader consensus at 80% implied probability as the Democratic Party of Korea's nominee following his primary victory over Rep. Lee Jae-sung last week, bolstered by recent polls showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Park Heong-joon by 10–13 points, such as a Busan Ilbo survey with Chun at 48% to Park's 35%. Park holds 18% amid his own primary win over Rep. Joo Jin-woo, leveraging incumbency from 2021 by-election and 2022 victories, though Busan's traditional conservative lean faces challenge in this June 3 local election battleground. Minor candidates like Cho Kuk trail far behind due to the dominant two-party dynamic, with upcoming campaign events and potential by-elections in districts like Buk-gu as key variables.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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