Recent polls from Datafolha, Futura, Ideia, and MDA in early April show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading the first round at 39-40% against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's 35-37%, with gaps narrowing to statistical ties amid undecided voters and fragmented fields featuring Renan Santos and others. Runoff scenarios are even tighter, with Flávio numerically ahead in three of four surveys (45-48% vs. Lula's 42-46%), reflecting his momentum from his father's endorsement despite Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility and house arrest. Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly to Flávio at 41.3% over Lula's 39.5% due to this polling shift. A new Supreme Court-ordered defamation probe into Flávio over January social media posts could sway sentiment, alongside economic indicators and pre-October 4 first-round debates potentially creating separation in this coin-flip race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트플라비오 보우소나루 41.3%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바 40%
헤난 산토스 6.4%
페르난두 아다지 4.3%
$51,189,254 거래량
$51,189,254 거래량
플라비오 보우소나루
41%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
40%
헤난 산토스
6%
페르난두 아다지
4%
카밀루 산타나
3%
호날두 카이아두
2%
로메우 제마
1%
자이르 보우소나루
1%
미셸 볼소나루
<1%
제랄두 알크민
<1%
알도 헤벨로
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%
타르시지우 데 프레이타스
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
<1%
에두아르두 레이트
<1%
플라비오 보우소나루 41.3%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바 40%
헤난 산토스 6.4%
페르난두 아다지 4.3%
$51,189,254 거래량
$51,189,254 거래량
플라비오 보우소나루
41%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
40%
헤난 산토스
6%
페르난두 아다지
4%
카밀루 산타나
3%
호날두 카이아두
2%
로메우 제마
1%
자이르 보우소나루
1%
미셸 볼소나루
<1%
제랄두 알크민
<1%
알도 헤벨로
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%
타르시지우 데 프레이타스
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
<1%
에두아르두 레이트
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Sep 18, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from Datafolha, Futura, Ideia, and MDA in early April show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading the first round at 39-40% against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro's 35-37%, with gaps narrowing to statistical ties amid undecided voters and fragmented fields featuring Renan Santos and others. Runoff scenarios are even tighter, with Flávio numerically ahead in three of four surveys (45-48% vs. Lula's 42-46%), reflecting his momentum from his father's endorsement despite Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility and house arrest. Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly to Flávio at 41.3% over Lula's 39.5% due to this polling shift. A new Supreme Court-ordered defamation probe into Flávio over January social media posts could sway sentiment, alongside economic indicators and pre-October 4 first-round debates potentially creating separation in this coin-flip race.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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