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선거·불가리아

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner

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선거·불가리아

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner

PB 97.6%

GERB–SDS 1.3%

PP–DB <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$201,710 거래량

PB 97.6%

GERB–SDS 1.3%

PP–DB <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$201,710 거래량

Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PB

$73,664 거래량

98%

Will GERB-SDS (GERB–SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

GERB–SDS

$29,232 거래량

1%

Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

PP–DB

$27,743 거래량

1%

Will Movement for Rights and Freedoms (DPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

DPS

$4,252 거래량

<1%

Will There Is Such a People (ITN) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

ITN

$11,889 거래량

<1%

Will Velichie win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

Velichie

$15,738 거래량

<1%

Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

APS

$11,608 거래량

<1%

Will BSP – United Left win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

BSP-United Left

$7,898 거래량

<1%

Will Morality, Unity, Honour (MECH) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

MECH

$10,144 거래량

<1%

Will Vazrazhdane win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? icon

Vazrazhdane

$9,543 거래량

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by popular former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.6% implied probability for most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021—driven by consistent polling dominance. A fresh April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support with 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation, well ahead of GERB–SDS (22%, ~65 seats) and PP–DB (12%, ~35 seats), amid voter fatigue from repeated elections and anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government. This reflects PB's surge as a new anti-establishment force in a fragmented field. While barriers to upset are high given polling stability and historical accuracy, a late scandal, turnout surge among undecideds favoring incumbents, or coalition pre-election signals could narrow the gap before results.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$201,710
종료일
2026.04.19
마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), backed by popular former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at 97.6% implied probability for most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—the eighth since 2021—driven by consistent polling dominance. A fresh April 15 survey projects PB at 32% support with 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation, well ahead of GERB–SDS (22%, ~65 seats) and PP–DB (12%, ~35 seats), amid voter fatigue from repeated elections and anti-corruption protests that toppled the prior government. This reflects PB's surge as a new anti-establishment force in a fragmented field. While barriers to upset are high given polling stability and historical accuracy, a late scandal, turnout surge among undecideds favoring incumbents, or coalition pre-election signals could narrow the gap before results.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
거래량
$201,710
종료일
2026.04.19
마켓 개설일
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner"은 10개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 98%의 "PB"이며, 이어서 1%의 "GERB–SDS"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 98¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 98%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner"은 총 $201.7K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Mar 13, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 10개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner"의 현재 유력 후보는 98%의 "PB"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 98%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 1%의 "GERB–SDS"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"Bulgaria Parliamentary Election Winner"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.