Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 93% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do governor election, driven by the party's swift confirmation of him as nominee on April 4 following a primary runoff victory over Noh Young-min, contrasted with ongoing People Power Party turmoil—including incumbent Kim Young-hwan's court-won reinstatement prompting a full primary restart on April 2 amid candidate withdrawals like Cho Gil-hyeong and protests from Yoon Hee-geun. This disarray delays PPP unification, tilting odds toward Shin despite earlier close polls. Realistic challenges include PPP rallying behind a consensus heavyweight, a Shin scandal, or conservative turnout surge in this battleground province.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신용한 93%
조길형 1.7%
윤희근 1.6%
송기섭 1.5%
$23,078 거래량
$23,078 거래량
신용한
93%
조길형
2%
윤희근
2%
송기섭
2%
이종배
1%
김영환
1%
노영민
1%
도종환
<1%
신용한 93%
조길형 1.7%
윤희근 1.6%
송기섭 1.5%
$23,078 거래량
$23,078 거래량
신용한
93%
조길형
2%
윤희근
2%
송기섭
2%
이종배
1%
김영환
1%
노영민
1%
도종환
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
마켓 개설일: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Democratic Party candidate Shin Yong-han at 93% implied probability for the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do governor election, driven by the party's swift confirmation of him as nominee on April 4 following a primary runoff victory over Noh Young-min, contrasted with ongoing People Power Party turmoil—including incumbent Kim Young-hwan's court-won reinstatement prompting a full primary restart on April 2 amid candidate withdrawals like Cho Gil-hyeong and protests from Yoon Hee-geun. This disarray delays PPP unification, tilting odds toward Shin despite earlier close polls. Realistic challenges include PPP rallying behind a consensus heavyweight, a Shin scandal, or conservative turnout surge in this battleground province.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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