Park Soo-hyun's 91% implied probability in trader consensus stems from his April 15 Democratic Party of Korea primary victory over former governor Yang Seung-jo, securing the nomination in a runoff after topping the initial field, combined with head-to-head polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party nominee Kim Tae-heum by 8-17 points in recent surveys. As a two-term lawmaker emphasizing balanced growth, Park benefits from Democratic momentum in Chungcheongnam-do ahead of the June 3 local election, where the province's swing potential favors challengers amid national trends. While Kim holds incumbency advantages like name recognition, shifts could arise from scandals, campaign gaffes, or turnout favoring conservatives.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트박수현 91.2%
양승조 1.8%
성일종 1.3%
김태흠 1.2%
$976,009 거래량
$976,009 거래량
박수현
91%
양승조
2%
성일종
1%
김태흠
1%
강승규
<1%
문진석
<1%
정진석
<1%
강훈식
<1%
윤상현
<1%
박수현 91.2%
양승조 1.8%
성일종 1.3%
김태흠 1.2%
$976,009 거래량
$976,009 거래량
박수현
91%
양승조
2%
성일종
1%
김태흠
1%
강승규
<1%
문진석
<1%
정진석
<1%
강훈식
<1%
윤상현
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
마켓 개설일: Nov 18, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Park Soo-hyun's 91% implied probability in trader consensus stems from his April 15 Democratic Party of Korea primary victory over former governor Yang Seung-jo, securing the nomination in a runoff after topping the initial field, combined with head-to-head polls showing him ahead of incumbent People Power Party nominee Kim Tae-heum by 8-17 points in recent surveys. As a two-term lawmaker emphasizing balanced growth, Park benefits from Democratic momentum in Chungcheongnam-do ahead of the June 3 local election, where the province's swing potential favors challengers amid national trends. While Kim holds incumbency advantages like name recognition, shifts could arise from scandals, campaign gaffes, or turnout favoring conservatives.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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