Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, with implied odds favoring 29–34°C amid a post-cool spell warming trend observed over the past week. Latest extended forecasts from sources like Weather.com and AccuWeather project highs near 32–33°C (92°F) under partly cloudy skies transitioning to cloudier afternoons, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge suppressing showers while sea breezes and urban heat island effects add variability. Differentiation hinges on cloud development—clearer conditions boost 33–34°C potential, while increased humidity or southerly flows cap at 29–30°C. New GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, plus China Meteorological Administration updates, due within 24 hours, could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 19?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 19?
32°C 21%
29°C 20%
30°C 19%
34°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.19
27°C or below
3%
28°C
10%
29°C
20%
30°C
19%
31°C
13%
32°C
21%
33°C
16%
34°C
19%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 21%
29°C 20%
30°C 19%
34°C 19%
신규
신규
2026.04.19
27°C or below
$159 거래량
3%
28°C
$25 거래량
10%
29°C
$0 거래량
20%
30°C
$0 거래량
19%
31°C
$0 거래량
13%
32°C
$0 거래량
21%
33°C
$6 거래량
16%
34°C
$30 거래량
19%
35°C
$119 거래량
7%
36°C
$304 거래량
3%
37°C or higher
$190 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, with implied odds favoring 29–34°C amid a post-cool spell warming trend observed over the past week. Latest extended forecasts from sources like Weather.com and AccuWeather project highs near 32–33°C (92°F) under partly cloudy skies transitioning to cloudier afternoons, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge suppressing showers while sea breezes and urban heat island effects add variability. Differentiation hinges on cloud development—clearer conditions boost 33–34°C potential, while increased humidity or southerly flows cap at 29–30°C. New GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, plus China Meteorological Administration updates, due within 24 hours, could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
거래량
$704종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, with implied odds favoring 29–34°C amid a post-cool spell warming trend observed over the past week. Latest extended forecasts from sources like Weather.com and AccuWeather project highs near 32–33°C (92°F) under partly cloudy skies transitioning to cloudier afternoons, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge suppressing showers while sea breezes and urban heat island effects add variability. Differentiation hinges on cloud development—clearer conditions boost 33–34°C potential, while increased humidity or southerly flows cap at 29–30°C. New GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, plus China Meteorological Administration updates, due within 24 hours, could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$704종료일
2026.04.19마켓 개설일
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 19, with implied odds favoring 29–34°C amid a post-cool spell warming trend observed over the past week. Latest extended forecasts from sources like Weather.com and AccuWeather project highs near 32–33°C (92°F) under partly cloudy skies transitioning to cloudier afternoons, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge suppressing showers while sea breezes and urban heat island effects add variability. Differentiation hinges on cloud development—clearer conditions boost 33–34°C potential, while increased humidity or southerly flows cap at 29–30°C. New GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs, plus China Meteorological Administration updates, due within 24 hours, could sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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