Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a NYC high of 78-79°F at 36.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks near 77°F at LaGuardia Airport, with some guidance like world-weather.info showing 79°F. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge steering southerly flow that has sustained a warm anomaly—15-20°F above the mid-April Central Park average of 62°F—following record pursuits earlier this week. National Weather Service forecasts note lingering shower and thunderstorm risks from yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion, potentially capping intensities and boosting the 77°F-or-below odds at 26%, while drier outcomes support 80-81°F at 23.5%. New evening model cycles and morning NWS updates will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover impacts before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 17일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
4월 17일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
78~79°F 38%
77°F 이하 27%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 13%
신규
$25,817 거래량
신규
$25,817 거래량
2026.04.17
77°F 이하
27%
78~79°F
38%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F 이상
<1%
78~79°F 38%
77°F 이하 27%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 13%
신규
$25,817 거래량
신규
$25,817 거래량
2026.04.17
77°F 이하
$3,742 거래량
27%
78~79°F
$2,358 거래량
38%
80-81°F
$1,375 거래량
24%
82-83°F
$1,018 거래량
13%
84-85°F
$1,593 거래량
4%
86-87°F
$1,772 거래량
1%
88-89°F
$4,682 거래량
1%
90-91°F
$1,233 거래량
<1%
92-93°F
$2,118 거래량
<1%
94-95°F
$2,845 거래량
<1%
96°F 이상
$3,248 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a NYC high of 78-79°F at 36.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks near 77°F at LaGuardia Airport, with some guidance like world-weather.info showing 79°F. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge steering southerly flow that has sustained a warm anomaly—15-20°F above the mid-April Central Park average of 62°F—following record pursuits earlier this week. National Weather Service forecasts note lingering shower and thunderstorm risks from yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion, potentially capping intensities and boosting the 77°F-or-below odds at 26%, while drier outcomes support 80-81°F at 23.5%. New evening model cycles and morning NWS updates will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover impacts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$25,817종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a NYC high of 78-79°F at 36.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks near 77°F at LaGuardia Airport, with some guidance like world-weather.info showing 79°F. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge steering southerly flow that has sustained a warm anomaly—15-20°F above the mid-April Central Park average of 62°F—following record pursuits earlier this week. National Weather Service forecasts note lingering shower and thunderstorm risks from yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion, potentially capping intensities and boosting the 77°F-or-below odds at 26%, while drier outcomes support 80-81°F at 23.5%. New evening model cycles and morning NWS updates will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover impacts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$25,817종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a NYC high of 78-79°F at 36.5% implied probability, closely tracking the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs projecting peaks near 77°F at LaGuardia Airport, with some guidance like world-weather.info showing 79°F. This positioning stems from an upper-level ridge steering southerly flow that has sustained a warm anomaly—15-20°F above the mid-April Central Park average of 62°F—following record pursuits earlier this week. National Weather Service forecasts note lingering shower and thunderstorm risks from yesterday's Area Forecast Discussion, potentially capping intensities and boosting the 77°F-or-below odds at 26%, while drier outcomes support 80-81°F at 23.5%. New evening model cycles and morning NWS updates will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover impacts before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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