Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 16:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C for April 17 under sunny intervals, hot daytime conditions, and light south winds at force 2–3, with relative humidity 70–95% and a few showers later—driving the market-implied 57% probability for 29°C as traders anticipate peak heating from strong insolation amid a southerly airstream advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. Recent days have consistently hit near 29°C highs, above the mid-April climatological average of 26–27°C, reinforcing this positioning, though evening showers could cap intensities below 30°C (17% odds). Updated short-range forecasts from HKO later today or tomorrow morning may refine ensemble model consensus before resolution based on official Observatory measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 17일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 온도는?
4월 17일 홍콩에서 가장 높은 온도는?
29°C 61%
30°C 17%
28°C 16%
27°C 5.1%
신규
$73,535 거래량
신규
$73,535 거래량
2026.04.17
21°C 이하
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
61%
30°C
17%
31°C 이상
4%
29°C 61%
30°C 17%
28°C 16%
27°C 5.1%
신규
$73,535 거래량
신규
$73,535 거래량
2026.04.17
21°C 이하
$14,639 거래량
<1%
22°C
$7,066 거래량
<1%
23°C
$12,961 거래량
<1%
24°C
$7,531 거래량
<1%
25°C
$6,598 거래량
<1%
26°C
$5,244 거래량
<1%
27°C
$5,726 거래량
5%
28°C
$4,568 거래량
16%
29°C
$3,481 거래량
61%
30°C
$3,043 거래량
17%
31°C 이상
$2,791 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 16:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C for April 17 under sunny intervals, hot daytime conditions, and light south winds at force 2–3, with relative humidity 70–95% and a few showers later—driving the market-implied 57% probability for 29°C as traders anticipate peak heating from strong insolation amid a southerly airstream advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. Recent days have consistently hit near 29°C highs, above the mid-April climatological average of 26–27°C, reinforcing this positioning, though evening showers could cap intensities below 30°C (17% odds). Updated short-range forecasts from HKO later today or tomorrow morning may refine ensemble model consensus before resolution based on official Observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
거래량
$73,535종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 16:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C for April 17 under sunny intervals, hot daytime conditions, and light south winds at force 2–3, with relative humidity 70–95% and a few showers later—driving the market-implied 57% probability for 29°C as traders anticipate peak heating from strong insolation amid a southerly airstream advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. Recent days have consistently hit near 29°C highs, above the mid-April climatological average of 26–27°C, reinforcing this positioning, though evening showers could cap intensities below 30°C (17% odds). Updated short-range forecasts from HKO later today or tomorrow morning may refine ensemble model consensus before resolution based on official Observatory measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$73,535종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated at 16:30 HKT on April 16, projects a maximum temperature of 25–29°C for April 17 under sunny intervals, hot daytime conditions, and light south winds at force 2–3, with relative humidity 70–95% and a few showers later—driving the market-implied 57% probability for 29°C as traders anticipate peak heating from strong insolation amid a southerly airstream advecting warm, moist air from the South China Sea. Recent days have consistently hit near 29°C highs, above the mid-April climatological average of 26–27°C, reinforcing this positioning, though evening showers could cap intensities below 30°C (17% odds). Updated short-range forecasts from HKO later today or tomorrow morning may refine ensemble model consensus before resolution based on official Observatory measurements.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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