Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 18, with implied probabilities split evenly between 31°C and 33°C or higher amid a sharp warming trend. After cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier in April, latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble outputs show building high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air, enabling clear skies and peak afternoon heating in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Divergent model runs highlight key differentiators: stronger subsidence in hotter outliers could push beyond 33°C via enhanced insolation, while partial cloudiness or lighter winds may cap at 31°C, aligning with historical April variability around a 22°C average. New forecast cycles overnight from NOAA and CMA will clarify the balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 18?
31°C 50%
33°C or higher 50%
27°C 21%
26°C 20%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
23°C or below
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
20%
26°C
20%
27°C
21%
28°C
20%
29°C
20%
30°C
18%
31°C
50%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
50%
31°C 50%
33°C or higher 50%
27°C 21%
26°C 20%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
23°C or below
$0 거래량
3%
24°C
$0 거래량
18%
25°C
$0 거래량
20%
26°C
$0 거래량
20%
27°C
$0 거래량
21%
28°C
$0 거래량
20%
29°C
$0 거래량
20%
30°C
$0 거래량
18%
31°C
$0 거래량
50%
32°C
$0 거래량
13%
33°C or higher
$0 거래량
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 18, with implied probabilities split evenly between 31°C and 33°C or higher amid a sharp warming trend. After cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier in April, latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble outputs show building high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air, enabling clear skies and peak afternoon heating in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Divergent model runs highlight key differentiators: stronger subsidence in hotter outliers could push beyond 33°C via enhanced insolation, while partial cloudiness or lighter winds may cap at 31°C, aligning with historical April variability around a 22°C average. New forecast cycles overnight from NOAA and CMA will clarify the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
거래량
$0종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 18, with implied probabilities split evenly between 31°C and 33°C or higher amid a sharp warming trend. After cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier in April, latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble outputs show building high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air, enabling clear skies and peak afternoon heating in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Divergent model runs highlight key differentiators: stronger subsidence in hotter outliers could push beyond 33°C via enhanced insolation, while partial cloudiness or lighter winds may cap at 31°C, aligning with historical April variability around a 22°C average. New forecast cycles overnight from NOAA and CMA will clarify the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$0종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Wuhan's highest temperature at Tianhe International Airport on April 18, with implied probabilities split evenly between 31°C and 33°C or higher amid a sharp warming trend. After cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier in April, latest China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF ensemble outputs show building high pressure and southerly winds advecting warm, moist air, enabling clear skies and peak afternoon heating in the upper 20s to low 30s Celsius. Divergent model runs highlight key differentiators: stronger subsidence in hotter outliers could push beyond 33°C via enhanced insolation, while partial cloudiness or lighter winds may cap at 31°C, aligning with historical April variability around a 22°C average. New forecast cycles overnight from NOAA and CMA will clarify the balance.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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