Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 28°C (37.5% implied probability) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest AEMET guidance forecasting a maximum of 28–29°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport under clear skies and light winds. This reflects a warming trend from recent observations—23.9°C maximum on April 15 and around 25°C on April 16—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge delivering continental high pressure and subsidence, suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show tight agreement near 28°C, well above April's climatological average of 18°C, though short-range forecast uncertainty persists with new runs expected late April 17 potentially refining odds before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 18?
28°C 38%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
30°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
5%
27°C
27%
28°C
38%
29°C
20%
30°C
8%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
28°C 38%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
30°C 8%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
22°C or below
$1,336 거래량
<1%
23°C
$885 거래량
<1%
24°C
$921 거래량
1%
25°C
$627 거래량
2%
26°C
$756 거래량
5%
27°C
$430 거래량
27%
28°C
$458 거래량
38%
29°C
$368 거래량
20%
30°C
$717 거래량
8%
31°C
$468 거래량
2%
32°C or higher
$1,208 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 28°C (37.5% implied probability) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest AEMET guidance forecasting a maximum of 28–29°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport under clear skies and light winds. This reflects a warming trend from recent observations—23.9°C maximum on April 15 and around 25°C on April 16—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge delivering continental high pressure and subsidence, suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show tight agreement near 28°C, well above April's climatological average of 18°C, though short-range forecast uncertainty persists with new runs expected late April 17 potentially refining odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
거래량
$8,174종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 28°C (37.5% implied probability) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest AEMET guidance forecasting a maximum of 28–29°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport under clear skies and light winds. This reflects a warming trend from recent observations—23.9°C maximum on April 15 and around 25°C on April 16—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge delivering continental high pressure and subsidence, suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show tight agreement near 28°C, well above April's climatological average of 18°C, though short-range forecast uncertainty persists with new runs expected late April 17 potentially refining odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$8,174종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 28°C (37.5% implied probability) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 18, driven by the latest AEMET guidance forecasting a maximum of 28–29°C at Adolfo Suárez Madrid–Barajas Airport under clear skies and light winds. This reflects a warming trend from recent observations—23.9°C maximum on April 15 and around 25°C on April 16—fueled by a persistent upper-level ridge delivering continental high pressure and subsidence, suppressing clouds and boosting daytime heating. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show tight agreement near 28°C, well above April's climatological average of 18°C, though short-range forecast uncertainty persists with new runs expected late April 17 potentially refining odds before resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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