Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) officially recorded a maximum air temperature of 30.2°C on April 16, 2026, amid fine, dry conditions with zero rainfall and relative humidity ranging 60-85%. This outcome aligns with HKO's seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures in April-June 2026, following record-breaking March heat and an anticipated hot year driven by persistent high-pressure systems and climatological warming trends. Other stations like Lau Fau Shan hit 31.0°C, reinforcing regional heat. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an extraordinary data audit revealing sensor malfunction or recording error could alter it, given HKO's rigorous verification standards and historical reliability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 16?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$338,510 거래량
$338,510 거래량
2026.04.16
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$338,510 거래량
$338,510 거래량
2026.04.16
20°C or below
$12,591 거래량
No
21°C
$2,651 거래량
No
22°C
$3,403 거래량
No
23°C
$3,468 거래량
No
24°C
$7,354 거래량
No
25°C
$24,971 거래량
No
26°C
$23,377 거래량
No
27°C
$24,444 거래량
No
28°C
$33,749 거래량
No
29°C
$77,317 거래량
No
30°C or higher
$125,184 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) officially recorded a maximum air temperature of 30.2°C on April 16, 2026, amid fine, dry conditions with zero rainfall and relative humidity ranging 60-85%. This outcome aligns with HKO's seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures in April-June 2026, following record-breaking March heat and an anticipated hot year driven by persistent high-pressure systems and climatological warming trends. Other stations like Lau Fau Shan hit 31.0°C, reinforcing regional heat. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an extraordinary data audit revealing sensor malfunction or recording error could alter it, given HKO's rigorous verification standards and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
거래량
$338,510종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) officially recorded a maximum air temperature of 30.2°C on April 16, 2026, amid fine, dry conditions with zero rainfall and relative humidity ranging 60-85%. This outcome aligns with HKO's seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures in April-June 2026, following record-breaking March heat and an anticipated hot year driven by persistent high-pressure systems and climatological warming trends. Other stations like Lau Fau Shan hit 31.0°C, reinforcing regional heat. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an extraordinary data audit revealing sensor malfunction or recording error could alter it, given HKO's rigorous verification standards and historical reliability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$338,510종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
Trader consensus reflects a 100% implied probability for 30°C or higher as the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) officially recorded a maximum air temperature of 30.2°C on April 16, 2026, amid fine, dry conditions with zero rainfall and relative humidity ranging 60-85%. This outcome aligns with HKO's seasonal forecasts for normal to above-normal temperatures in April-June 2026, following record-breaking March heat and an anticipated hot year driven by persistent high-pressure systems and climatological warming trends. Other stations like Lau Fau Shan hit 31.0°C, reinforcing regional heat. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an extraordinary data audit revealing sensor malfunction or recording error could alter it, given HKO's rigorous verification standards and historical reliability.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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