Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 15, projects a daytime high of 24–29°C on April 18 amid a persistent southerly airstream delivering hot weather with sunny intervals and isolated showers, driving trader sentiment toward clustered outcomes around 29–31°C. The slight edge for 31°C or higher at 35% implied probability reflects potential for enhanced diurnal heating under light winds and reduced cloud cover, outweighing baseline model outputs, while 29°C (30%) and 30°C (29.5%) capture consensus on moderate peaks. Uncertainty arises from shower variability, which could cap temperatures via evaporative cooling or allow urban heat buildup; daily HKO updates and model ensembles will clarify steering patterns before resolution at the official Observatory station. April climatology supports highs above 30°C in similar warm, humid flows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 18?
29°C 28%
31°C or higher 28%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
14%
28°C
20%
29°C
28%
30°C
24%
31°C or higher
28%
29°C 28%
31°C or higher 28%
30°C 24%
28°C 20%
신규
신규
2026.04.18
21°C or below
$230 거래량
1%
22°C
$230 거래량
1%
23°C
$239 거래량
7%
24°C
$65 거래량
5%
25°C
$202 거래량
3%
26°C
$181 거래량
5%
27°C
$55 거래량
14%
28°C
$76 거래량
20%
29°C
$48 거래량
28%
30°C
$48 거래량
24%
31°C or higher
$49 거래량
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 15, projects a daytime high of 24–29°C on April 18 amid a persistent southerly airstream delivering hot weather with sunny intervals and isolated showers, driving trader sentiment toward clustered outcomes around 29–31°C. The slight edge for 31°C or higher at 35% implied probability reflects potential for enhanced diurnal heating under light winds and reduced cloud cover, outweighing baseline model outputs, while 29°C (30%) and 30°C (29.5%) capture consensus on moderate peaks. Uncertainty arises from shower variability, which could cap temperatures via evaporative cooling or allow urban heat buildup; daily HKO updates and model ensembles will clarify steering patterns before resolution at the official Observatory station. April climatology supports highs above 30°C in similar warm, humid flows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
거래량
$1,327종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 15, projects a daytime high of 24–29°C on April 18 amid a persistent southerly airstream delivering hot weather with sunny intervals and isolated showers, driving trader sentiment toward clustered outcomes around 29–31°C. The slight edge for 31°C or higher at 35% implied probability reflects potential for enhanced diurnal heating under light winds and reduced cloud cover, outweighing baseline model outputs, while 29°C (30%) and 30°C (29.5%) capture consensus on moderate peaks. Uncertainty arises from shower variability, which could cap temperatures via evaporative cooling or allow urban heat buildup; daily HKO updates and model ensembles will clarify steering patterns before resolution at the official Observatory station. April climatology supports highs above 30°C in similar warm, humid flows.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$1,327종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 15, projects a daytime high of 24–29°C on April 18 amid a persistent southerly airstream delivering hot weather with sunny intervals and isolated showers, driving trader sentiment toward clustered outcomes around 29–31°C. The slight edge for 31°C or higher at 35% implied probability reflects potential for enhanced diurnal heating under light winds and reduced cloud cover, outweighing baseline model outputs, while 29°C (30%) and 30°C (29.5%) capture consensus on moderate peaks. Uncertainty arises from shower variability, which could cap temperatures via evaporative cooling or allow urban heat buildup; daily HKO updates and model ensembles will clarify steering patterns before resolution at the official Observatory station. April climatology supports highs above 30°C in similar warm, humid flows.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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