The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 18 at 23-25°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms from a passing frontal system, down from recent highs of 26-30°C on April 16-17, anchoring trader consensus around mid-20s outcomes like 24°C (20.5%) and 25-26°C (20% each). This instability introduces uncertainty, with equal 25.5% implied probabilities for 19°C or below—should persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating—and 29°C or higher, if showers dissipate early allowing southerly flow and solar insolation to push temperatures up, as seen in prior volatile April patterns. Model ensembles show spread in cloud cover timing, with CWA updates expected twice daily ahead of resolution at Taipei Songshan Airport Station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 18?
25°C 29%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C 18%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
19%
25°C
29%
26°C
28%
27°C
18%
28°C
12%
29°C or higher
6%
25°C 29%
26°C 28%
24°C 19%
27°C 18%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
19%
25°C
29%
26°C
28%
27°C
18%
28°C
12%
29°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 18 at 23-25°C amid cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms from a passing frontal system, down from recent highs of 26-30°C on April 16-17, anchoring trader consensus around mid-20s outcomes like 24°C (20.5%) and 25-26°C (20% each). This instability introduces uncertainty, with equal 25.5% implied probabilities for 19°C or below—should persistent low clouds suppress daytime heating—and 29°C or higher, if showers dissipate early allowing southerly flow and solar insolation to push temperatures up, as seen in prior volatile April patterns. Model ensembles show spread in cloud cover timing, with CWA updates expected twice daily ahead of resolution at Taipei Songshan Airport Station.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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