Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 68-69°F at 40.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting highs near 68°F under sunny skies and light north winds at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO). Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight a building upper-level ridge over California weakening onshore flow and suppressing the persistent marine layer that kept early April highs in the low 60s amid rainy conditions. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports mild warming above the April climatological average of 63°F, though lingering coastal stratus could cap peaks; watch NWS updates this afternoon for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 26%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 15%
$20,399 거래량
$20,399 거래량
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 41%
66-67°F 26%
64-65°F 16%
70-71°F 15%
$20,399 거래량
$20,399 거래량
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
41%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 68-69°F at 40.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecasts projecting highs near 68°F under sunny skies and light north winds at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO). Recent Area Forecast Discussions highlight a building upper-level ridge over California weakening onshore flow and suppressing the persistent marine layer that kept early April highs in the low 60s amid rainy conditions. Model consensus from GFS and ECMWF supports mild warming above the April climatological average of 63°F, though lingering coastal stratus could cap peaks; watch NWS updates this afternoon for refinements ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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