Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
신규
$79,640 거래량
신규
$79,640 거래량
2026.04.16
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.4%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
신규
$79,640 거래량
신규
$79,640 거래량
2026.04.16
31°C
$61,478 거래량
99%
32°C
$3,248 거래량
<1%
33°C
$1,694 거래량
<1%
34°C
$1,298 거래량
<1%
35°C
$1,457 거래량
<1%
36°C
$2,161 거래량
<1%
37°C
$1,263 거래량
<1%
38°C
$519 거래량
<1%
39°C or higher
$863 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
거래량
$79,640종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$79,640종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETLatest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration project Guangzhou's highest temperature on April 16 at 31°C under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds and moderate humidity around 75%, aligning with recent observations of 29–30°C peaks through April 15 amid persistent cloud cover that capped solar heating. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 31°C, reflecting strong model consensus—including local mesoscale guidance—and trader confidence in stable atmospheric conditions without upper-level ridging or dry air intrusion for escalation. April climatology typically sees highs near 26°C, but this month's +3°C anomaly fits without extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to 32°C+, though abundant low-level moisture limits upside; official station readings from Baiyun district will confirm by evening.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문