Official NOAA observations from Vnukovo International Airport, Moscow's reference station for this market, confirm a maximum temperature of 10°C on April 15, 2026—the highest "Temp" reading in metric METAR data—driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Persistent overcast skies and patchy rain, as forecasted by Rosgidromet, capped solar insolation and daytime warming despite a record-warm nighttime low of +8.5°C at the VDNKh station, well above climatological norms for mid-April highs around 11.6°C. This reflects strong alignment between model consensus and real-time measurements. Realistic challenges include final data audits uncovering a higher hourly peak or minor station discrepancies, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 10°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 15일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
4월 15일 모스크바에서 가장 높은 온도는?
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
16°C <1%
$127,537 거래량
$127,537 거래량
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
10°C 100.0%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
16°C <1%
$127,537 거래량
$127,537 거래량
10°C
100%
11°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 예
이의 제기 기간
최종
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...결과 제안됨: 예
이의 제기 기간
최종
Official NOAA observations from Vnukovo International Airport, Moscow's reference station for this market, confirm a maximum temperature of 10°C on April 15, 2026—the highest "Temp" reading in metric METAR data—driving unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. Persistent overcast skies and patchy rain, as forecasted by Rosgidromet, capped solar insolation and daytime warming despite a record-warm nighttime low of +8.5°C at the VDNKh station, well above climatological norms for mid-April highs around 11.6°C. This reflects strong alignment between model consensus and real-time measurements. Realistic challenges include final data audits uncovering a higher hourly peak or minor station discrepancies, though current evidence strongly supports resolution to 10°C.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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