Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (27.5%) and 27°C (25.5%) implied probabilities for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, mirroring the tight 25–29°C spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from official model runs. This positioning stems from a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering partly sunny skies and efficient daytime boundary-layer heating, consistent with recent highs of 24–26°C on April 16–17 amid above-normal April temperatures (+2–4°C anomalies). Key differentiators include subtle model variances in afternoon cloud development and sea-breeze timing, which could suppress peaks to 25–26°C via coastal cooling or permit 27–28°C under prolonged insolation. Updated SMN bulletins and overnight model refreshes may sharpen guidance before resolution via official Ezeiza Airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 18일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 18일 부에노스아이레스에서 가장 높은 기온?
26°C 28%
27°C 26%
28°C 20%
25°C 19%
신규
$24,741 거래량
신규
$24,741 거래량
2026.04.18
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
19%
26°C
28%
27°C
26%
28°C
20%
29°C
10%
30°C or higher
4%
26°C 28%
27°C 26%
28°C 20%
25°C 19%
신규
$24,741 거래량
신규
$24,741 거래량
2026.04.18
20°C or below
$3,658 거래량
<1%
21°C
$3,464 거래량
<1%
22°C
$4,196 거래량
<1%
23°C
$4,793 거래량
1%
24°C
$2,721 거래량
2%
25°C
$1,048 거래량
19%
26°C
$698 거래량
28%
27°C
$607 거래량
26%
28°C
$1,280 거래량
20%
29°C
$1,346 거래량
10%
30°C or higher
$969 거래량
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (27.5%) and 27°C (25.5%) implied probabilities for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, mirroring the tight 25–29°C spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from official model runs. This positioning stems from a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering partly sunny skies and efficient daytime boundary-layer heating, consistent with recent highs of 24–26°C on April 16–17 amid above-normal April temperatures (+2–4°C anomalies). Key differentiators include subtle model variances in afternoon cloud development and sea-breeze timing, which could suppress peaks to 25–26°C via coastal cooling or permit 27–28°C under prolonged insolation. Updated SMN bulletins and overnight model refreshes may sharpen guidance before resolution via official Ezeiza Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
거래량
$24,741종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (27.5%) and 27°C (25.5%) implied probabilities for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, mirroring the tight 25–29°C spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from official model runs. This positioning stems from a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering partly sunny skies and efficient daytime boundary-layer heating, consistent with recent highs of 24–26°C on April 16–17 amid above-normal April temperatures (+2–4°C anomalies). Key differentiators include subtle model variances in afternoon cloud development and sea-breeze timing, which could suppress peaks to 25–26°C via coastal cooling or permit 27–28°C under prolonged insolation. Updated SMN bulletins and overnight model refreshes may sharpen guidance before resolution via official Ezeiza Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$24,741종료일
2026.04.18마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (27.5%) and 27°C (25.5%) implied probabilities for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 18, mirroring the tight 25–29°C spread in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from official model runs. This positioning stems from a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering partly sunny skies and efficient daytime boundary-layer heating, consistent with recent highs of 24–26°C on April 16–17 amid above-normal April temperatures (+2–4°C anomalies). Key differentiators include subtle model variances in afternoon cloud development and sea-breeze timing, which could suppress peaks to 25–26°C via coastal cooling or permit 27–28°C under prolonged insolation. Updated SMN bulletins and overnight model refreshes may sharpen guidance before resolution via official Ezeiza Airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문