Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (32.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a warm spring pattern. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 29°C peak at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station under cloudy skies with thundershowers, potentially capping daytime heating after today's observed 30°C high during partly sunny conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-30°C spread, influenced by high humidity, sea breezes, and convective cloud development; minimal sunshine penetration could favor 29°C, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
30°C 43%
29°C 33%
28°C 13%
31°C 8.0%
신규
$22,598 거래량
신규
$22,598 거래량
2026.04.17
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
33%
30°C
43%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
30°C 43%
29°C 33%
28°C 13%
31°C 8.0%
신규
$22,598 거래량
신규
$22,598 거래량
2026.04.17
22°C or below
$1,331 거래량
<1%
23°C
$2,359 거래량
<1%
24°C
$1,630 거래량
<1%
25°C
$2,808 거래량
<1%
26°C
$4,464 거래량
1%
27°C
$2,843 거래량
3%
28°C
$1,011 거래량
13%
29°C
$485 거래량
33%
30°C
$1,411 거래량
43%
31°C
$2,516 거래량
8%
32°C or higher
$1,771 거래량
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (32.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a warm spring pattern. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 29°C peak at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station under cloudy skies with thundershowers, potentially capping daytime heating after today's observed 30°C high during partly sunny conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-30°C spread, influenced by high humidity, sea breezes, and convective cloud development; minimal sunshine penetration could favor 29°C, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
거래량
$22,598종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (32.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a warm spring pattern. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 29°C peak at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station under cloudy skies with thundershowers, potentially capping daytime heating after today's observed 30°C high during partly sunny conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-30°C spread, influenced by high humidity, sea breezes, and convective cloud development; minimal sunshine penetration could favor 29°C, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$22,598종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 30°C (38%) and 29°C (32.5%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid a warm spring pattern. The China Meteorological Administration's latest guidance projects a 29°C peak at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport station under cloudy skies with thundershowers, potentially capping daytime heating after today's observed 30°C high during partly sunny conditions. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight 28-30°C spread, influenced by high humidity, sea breezes, and convective cloud development; minimal sunshine penetration could favor 29°C, while delayed showers might allow urban heat island effects to push toward 30°C. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve the market tomorrow.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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